Wellington's highest temperature on August 29 will be shaped by northwest to northerly flow moderating a post-frontal airmass, with clear to partly cloudy skies supporting daytime heating under 20–36 km/h winds. Official MetService and international model guidance indicate a maximum near 13–14°C, consistent with seasonal norms for late winter where highs rarely exceed 14°C without strong föhn effects. Recent observations on August 28 showed peaks around 14°C amid gusty northerlies, while updated forecasts for the 29th emphasize dry conditions and limited marine cooling that could allow brief spikes toward 15°C at sheltered sites. Trader positioning at 15°C (68%) reflects this boundary-layer warming potential, with lower probabilities assigned to 14°C or 16°C based on model spread in peak timing and wind strength.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日惠靈頓的最高溫度?
15°C 69%
16°C 18%
14°C 14%
17°C 4%
$26,165 交易量
$26,165 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
14%
15°C
69%
16°C
18%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 69%
16°C 18%
14°C 14%
17°C 4%
$26,165 交易量
$26,165 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
14%
15°C
69%
16°C
18%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wellington's highest temperature on August 29 will be shaped by northwest to northerly flow moderating a post-frontal airmass, with clear to partly cloudy skies supporting daytime heating under 20–36 km/h winds. Official MetService and international model guidance indicate a maximum near 13–14°C, consistent with seasonal norms for late winter where highs rarely exceed 14°C without strong föhn effects. Recent observations on August 28 showed peaks around 14°C amid gusty northerlies, while updated forecasts for the 29th emphasize dry conditions and limited marine cooling that could allow brief spikes toward 15°C at sheltered sites. Trader positioning at 15°C (68%) reflects this boundary-layer warming potential, with lower probabilities assigned to 14°C or 16°C based on model spread in peak timing and wind strength.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions