Wellington's minimum temperature on August 29 is strongly positioned at 11°C due to persistent northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air across the region, combined with limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. Official guidance from MetService and international models, including consistent runs showing nighttime lows of 9–12°C at Wellington International Airport, aligns with historical August climatology where extremes below 8°C are uncommon under similar setups. Trader consensus reflects this stability, as no significant cold-air outbreak or clear-calm conditions have materialized to drive further drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp wind shift to southerlies or prolonged clear, light-wind conditions accelerating surface cooling beyond current ensemble spreads.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日惠靈頓的最低溫度?
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 交易量
$2,323 交易量
11°C
100%
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 交易量
$2,323 交易量
11°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wellington's minimum temperature on August 29 is strongly positioned at 11°C due to persistent northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air across the region, combined with limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. Official guidance from MetService and international models, including consistent runs showing nighttime lows of 9–12°C at Wellington International Airport, aligns with historical August climatology where extremes below 8°C are uncommon under similar setups. Trader consensus reflects this stability, as no significant cold-air outbreak or clear-calm conditions have materialized to drive further drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp wind shift to southerlies or prolonged clear, light-wind conditions accelerating surface cooling beyond current ensemble spreads.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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