**Recent southerly winds and associated frontal passage have driven overnight cooling in Wellington, with multiple forecast models converging on a minimum near 7°C.** Coastal exposure and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, while light rain and moderate humidity have kept temperatures from dropping sharply below this threshold. Official guidance, including MetService outlooks and international models, consistently highlights this range for the overnight low amid a transition to clearer conditions by morning. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 7°C market share, aligns with these verified observations and ensemble agreement, though minor model spreads introduce limited uncertainty around exact resolution. Upcoming hourly readings from Wellington Airport will confirm the final low before market settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8月31日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
7°C 99%
6°C 5%
5°C or below 1.0%
8°C <1%
$3,067 交易量
$3,067 交易量
2026-08-31
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
是
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
否
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C或以上
否
7°C 99%
6°C 5%
5°C or below 1.0%
8°C <1%
$3,067 交易量
$3,067 交易量
2026-08-31
5°C or below
$129 交易量
No
6°C
$645 交易量
No
7°C
$178 交易量
是
8°C
$1,063 交易量
No
9°C
$278 交易量
No
10°C
$144 交易量
No
11°C
$167 交易量
否
12°C
$330 交易量
No
13°C
$20 交易量
No
14°C
$30 交易量
No
15°C或以上
$83 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent southerly winds and associated frontal passage have driven overnight cooling in Wellington, with multiple forecast models converging on a minimum near 7°C.** Coastal exposure and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, while light rain and moderate humidity have kept temperatures from dropping sharply below this threshold. Official guidance, including MetService outlooks and international models, consistently highlights this range for the overnight low amid a transition to clearer conditions by morning. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 7°C market share, aligns with these verified observations and ensemble agreement, though minor model spreads introduce limited uncertainty around exact resolution. Upcoming hourly readings from Wellington Airport will confirm the final low before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,067結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent southerly winds and associated frontal passage have driven overnight cooling in Wellington, with multiple forecast models converging on a minimum near 7°C.** Coastal exposure and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, while light rain and moderate humidity have kept temperatures from dropping sharply below this threshold. Official guidance, including MetService outlooks and international models, consistently highlights this range for the overnight low amid a transition to clearer conditions by morning. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 7°C market share, aligns with these verified observations and ensemble agreement, though minor model spreads introduce limited uncertainty around exact resolution. Upcoming hourly readings from Wellington Airport will confirm the final low before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,067結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Recent southerly winds and associated frontal passage have driven overnight cooling in Wellington, with multiple forecast models converging on a minimum near 7°C.** Coastal exposure and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, while light rain and moderate humidity have kept temperatures from dropping sharply below this threshold. Official guidance, including MetService outlooks and international models, consistently highlights this range for the overnight low amid a transition to clearer conditions by morning. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 7°C market share, aligns with these verified observations and ensemble agreement, though minor model spreads introduce limited uncertainty around exact resolution. Upcoming hourly readings from Wellington Airport will confirm the final low before market settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions