Recent forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 7 show daytime highs clustered between roughly 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds following the passage of an Antarctic cold front. This setup introduces moderate uncertainty in peak temperatures, as northerly advection can enhance warming while residual cool air and variable cloud cover limit surface heating. Current model consensus points to gradual moderation after cooler conditions on September 5–6, yet small shifts in wind timing or insolation could easily differentiate outcomes across the 11–15°C range. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, but the immediate post-frontal environment keeps trader-implied odds evenly distributed among the central bins. Updated official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
13°C 32%
14°C 30%
12°C 24%
15°C 24%
7°C或以下
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
4%
10°C
4%
11°C
9%
12°C
24%
13°C
32%
14°C
30%
15°C
24%
16°C
6%
17°C或以上
5%
13°C 32%
14°C 30%
12°C 24%
15°C 24%
7°C或以下
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
4%
10°C
4%
11°C
9%
12°C
24%
13°C
32%
14°C
30%
15°C
24%
16°C
6%
17°C或以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 7 show daytime highs clustered between roughly 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds following the passage of an Antarctic cold front. This setup introduces moderate uncertainty in peak temperatures, as northerly advection can enhance warming while residual cool air and variable cloud cover limit surface heating. Current model consensus points to gradual moderation after cooler conditions on September 5–6, yet small shifts in wind timing or insolation could easily differentiate outcomes across the 11–15°C range. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, but the immediate post-frontal environment keeps trader-implied odds evenly distributed among the central bins. Updated official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions