Official measurements from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) at the Mirante de Santana station recorded a daily maximum of 13.6°C on September 7, 2026, with temperatures declining through the afternoon amid a polar air mass and persistent cloud cover. This marked the coldest September afternoon since 2000 and aligned closely with the 14°C outcome now carrying full market-implied probability. The strong consensus stems from verified station data released shortly after the period closed, leaving little room for alternative readings. Scenarios that could still shift resolution include discrepancies between official and unofficial stations, final rounding rules, or post-analysis revisions by meteorological authorities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日聖保羅的最高溫度？
9月7日聖保羅的最高溫度？
14°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$41,388 交易量
$41,388 交易量
2026-09-07
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C或以上
否
14°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$41,388 交易量
$41,388 交易量
2026-09-07
6°C或以下
$1,250 交易量
否
7°C
$1,223 交易量
否
8°C
$1,240 交易量
否
9°C
$62 交易量
否
10°C
$377 交易量
否
11°C
$6,847 交易量
否
12°C
$11,482 交易量
否
13°C
$4,951 交易量
否
14°C
$8,552 交易量
是
15°C
$2,563 交易量
否
16°C或以上
$2,842 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) at the Mirante de Santana station recorded a daily maximum of 13.6°C on September 7, 2026, with temperatures declining through the afternoon amid a polar air mass and persistent cloud cover. This marked the coldest September afternoon since 2000 and aligned closely with the 14°C outcome now carrying full market-implied probability. The strong consensus stems from verified station data released shortly after the period closed, leaving little room for alternative readings. Scenarios that could still shift resolution include discrepancies between official and unofficial stations, final rounding rules, or post-analysis revisions by meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$41,388結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) at the Mirante de Santana station recorded a daily maximum of 13.6°C on September 7, 2026, with temperatures declining through the afternoon amid a polar air mass and persistent cloud cover. This marked the coldest September afternoon since 2000 and aligned closely with the 14°C outcome now carrying full market-implied probability. The strong consensus stems from verified station data released shortly after the period closed, leaving little room for alternative readings. Scenarios that could still shift resolution include discrepancies between official and unofficial stations, final rounding rules, or post-analysis revisions by meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,388結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official measurements from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) at the Mirante de Santana station recorded a daily maximum of 13.6°C on September 7, 2026, with temperatures declining through the afternoon amid a polar air mass and persistent cloud cover. This marked the coldest September afternoon since 2000 and aligned closely with the 14°C outcome now carrying full market-implied probability. The strong consensus stems from verified station data released shortly after the period closed, leaving little room for alternative readings. Scenarios that could still shift resolution include discrepancies between official and unofficial stations, final rounding rules, or post-analysis revisions by meteorological authorities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions