Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates a warm September 6 in Paris with highs likely reaching 29–31 °C, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and southeasterly flow advecting drier continental air. Light winds and clear morning skies will enhance insolation, pushing surface temperatures above the 23 °C climatological average. Minor model spreads arise from afternoon convective cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing depth, which could cap or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders weighting the 29–30 °C outcomes reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of updated runs and Météo-France guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日巴黎最高溫度？
9月6日巴黎最高溫度？
29°C 31%
30°C 27%
31°C 14%
28°C 13%
最新
$11,430 交易量
最新
$11,430 交易量
2026-09-06
26°C或以下
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
31%
30°C
27%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
29°C 31%
30°C 27%
31°C 14%
28°C 13%
最新
$11,430 交易量
最新
$11,430 交易量
2026-09-06
26°C或以下
$38 交易量
3%
27°C
$40 交易量
5%
28°C
$261 交易量
13%
29°C
$182 交易量
31%
30°C
$103 交易量
27%
31°C
$204 交易量
14%
32°C
$133 交易量
7%
33°C
$0 交易量
2%
34°C
$165 交易量
<1%
35°C
$0 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$10,304 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates a warm September 6 in Paris with highs likely reaching 29–31 °C, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and southeasterly flow advecting drier continental air. Light winds and clear morning skies will enhance insolation, pushing surface temperatures above the 23 °C climatological average. Minor model spreads arise from afternoon convective cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing depth, which could cap or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders weighting the 29–30 °C outcomes reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of updated runs and Météo-France guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$11,430結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates a warm September 6 in Paris with highs likely reaching 29–31 °C, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and southeasterly flow advecting drier continental air. Light winds and clear morning skies will enhance insolation, pushing surface temperatures above the 23 °C climatological average. Minor model spreads arise from afternoon convective cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing depth, which could cap or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders weighting the 29–30 °C outcomes reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of updated runs and Météo-France guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,430結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates a warm September 6 in Paris with highs likely reaching 29–31 °C, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and southeasterly flow advecting drier continental air. Light winds and clear morning skies will enhance insolation, pushing surface temperatures above the 23 °C climatological average. Minor model spreads arise from afternoon convective cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing depth, which could cap or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders weighting the 29–30 °C outcomes reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of updated runs and Météo-France guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions