Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance indicates the overnight low in Paris on September 6 will settle near 13–14 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, allowing moderate radiative cooling but limiting deeper drops. This places the 13 °C and 12 °C outcomes in close contention, with the slight edge to 13 °C reflecting the latest ensemble means and historical September climatology of 12.6 °C. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing of any high-cloud increase that could reduce cooling and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, both of which can shift the minimum by 1 °C. Updated model runs overnight and early morning will likely determine final trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日巴黎最低溫度？
9月6日巴黎最低溫度？
13°C 41%
12°C 38%
10°C或以下 20%
15°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
10°C或以下
20%
11°C
18%
12°C
38%
13°C
41%
14°C
16%
15°C
20%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C
18%
19°C
4%
20°C或以上
8%
13°C 41%
12°C 38%
10°C或以下 20%
15°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
10°C或以下
$5 交易量
20%
11°C
$0 交易量
18%
12°C
$353 交易量
38%
13°C
$94 交易量
41%
14°C
$4 交易量
16%
15°C
$0 交易量
20%
16°C
$0 交易量
17%
17°C
$0 交易量
17%
18°C
$0 交易量
18%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C或以上
$6 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance indicates the overnight low in Paris on September 6 will settle near 13–14 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, allowing moderate radiative cooling but limiting deeper drops. This places the 13 °C and 12 °C outcomes in close contention, with the slight edge to 13 °C reflecting the latest ensemble means and historical September climatology of 12.6 °C. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing of any high-cloud increase that could reduce cooling and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, both of which can shift the minimum by 1 °C. Updated model runs overnight and early morning will likely determine final trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$462結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance indicates the overnight low in Paris on September 6 will settle near 13–14 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, allowing moderate radiative cooling but limiting deeper drops. This places the 13 °C and 12 °C outcomes in close contention, with the slight edge to 13 °C reflecting the latest ensemble means and historical September climatology of 12.6 °C. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing of any high-cloud increase that could reduce cooling and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, both of which can shift the minimum by 1 °C. Updated model runs overnight and early morning will likely determine final trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$462結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from GFS and European guidance indicates the overnight low in Paris on September 6 will settle near 13–14 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, allowing moderate radiative cooling but limiting deeper drops. This places the 13 °C and 12 °C outcomes in close contention, with the slight edge to 13 °C reflecting the latest ensemble means and historical September climatology of 12.6 °C. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing of any high-cloud increase that could reduce cooling and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, both of which can shift the minimum by 1 °C. Updated model runs overnight and early morning will likely determine final trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions