Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models show Guangzhou's overnight low on September 7 hovering near 26°C amid persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent heavy rain has elevated soil moisture, further moderating temperature drops, while partial clearing overnight could allow brief dips toward 24–25°C in some runs. Historical September averages near 24.8°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and model spread sustain tight clustering of implied probabilities around 24–26°C, with traders weighting the balance between convective timing and boundary-layer recovery.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日廣州最低溫度?
23°C 47%
28°C 45%
25°C 41%
26°C 35%
20°C或以下
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
20%
23°C
47%
24°C
25%
25°C
41%
26°C
35%
27°C
26%
28°C
45%
29°C
7%
30°C或以上
31%
23°C 47%
28°C 45%
25°C 41%
26°C 35%
20°C或以下
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
20%
23°C
47%
24°C
25%
25°C
41%
26°C
35%
27°C
26%
28°C
45%
29°C
7%
30°C或以上
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models show Guangzhou's overnight low on September 7 hovering near 26°C amid persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent heavy rain has elevated soil moisture, further moderating temperature drops, while partial clearing overnight could allow brief dips toward 24–25°C in some runs. Historical September averages near 24.8°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and model spread sustain tight clustering of implied probabilities around 24–26°C, with traders weighting the balance between convective timing and boundary-layer recovery.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions