Trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s September 5 minimum temperature remains tightly balanced between 25 °C and 26 °C because official observations and model guidance converged on values near the long-term average low of 24.9 °C. Thunderstorm activity that day increased cloud cover and humidity, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while light winds reduced mixing, keeping overnight temperatures from falling further. Urban heat-island effects at the primary monitoring site added a modest upward bias relative to rural analogs. Ensemble forecasts showed only small spreads around the 25–26 °C threshold, with no strong signals for either a sharper cold-air intrusion or enhanced clearing that would push the minimum distinctly lower or higher. Updated station data after sunset therefore left the two leading outcomes nearly equiprobable in the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日廣州最低溫度？
9月5日廣州最低溫度？
25°C 94%
22°C 13%
23°C 8%
19°C或以下 <1%
$2,505 交易量
$2,505 交易量
2026-09-05
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
25°C 94%
22°C 13%
23°C 8%
19°C或以下 <1%
$2,505 交易量
$2,505 交易量
2026-09-05
19°C或以下
$67 交易量
否
20°C
$67 交易量
否
21°C
$67 交易量
否
22°C
$91 交易量
否
23°C
$97 交易量
否
24°C
$91 交易量
否
25°C
$81 交易量
否
26°C
$289 交易量
是
27°C
$1,035 交易量
否
28°C
$50 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$570 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s September 5 minimum temperature remains tightly balanced between 25 °C and 26 °C because official observations and model guidance converged on values near the long-term average low of 24.9 °C. Thunderstorm activity that day increased cloud cover and humidity, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while light winds reduced mixing, keeping overnight temperatures from falling further. Urban heat-island effects at the primary monitoring site added a modest upward bias relative to rural analogs. Ensemble forecasts showed only small spreads around the 25–26 °C threshold, with no strong signals for either a sharper cold-air intrusion or enhanced clearing that would push the minimum distinctly lower or higher. Updated station data after sunset therefore left the two leading outcomes nearly equiprobable in the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,505結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s September 5 minimum temperature remains tightly balanced between 25 °C and 26 °C because official observations and model guidance converged on values near the long-term average low of 24.9 °C. Thunderstorm activity that day increased cloud cover and humidity, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while light winds reduced mixing, keeping overnight temperatures from falling further. Urban heat-island effects at the primary monitoring site added a modest upward bias relative to rural analogs. Ensemble forecasts showed only small spreads around the 25–26 °C threshold, with no strong signals for either a sharper cold-air intrusion or enhanced clearing that would push the minimum distinctly lower or higher. Updated station data after sunset therefore left the two leading outcomes nearly equiprobable in the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,505結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s September 5 minimum temperature remains tightly balanced between 25 °C and 26 °C because official observations and model guidance converged on values near the long-term average low of 24.9 °C. Thunderstorm activity that day increased cloud cover and humidity, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while light winds reduced mixing, keeping overnight temperatures from falling further. Urban heat-island effects at the primary monitoring site added a modest upward bias relative to rural analogs. Ensemble forecasts showed only small spreads around the 25–26 °C threshold, with no strong signals for either a sharper cold-air intrusion or enhanced clearing that would push the minimum distinctly lower or higher. Updated station data after sunset therefore left the two leading outcomes nearly equiprobable in the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions