Forecast models and real-time observations indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 6, driven by high humidity, dew points around 25°C, light variable winds, and persistent cloud cover with scattered rain that limits nocturnal radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological September averages of 24.8°C lows and recent ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation under southerly flow. The elevated market-implied odds for 25°C capture this consensus, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of stronger northerly advection or clearer skies needed for greater cooling. Official station data will finalize resolution amid typical late-summer conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日廣州最低溫度？
9月6日廣州最低溫度？
25°C 99%
22°C 19%
23°C 19%
20°C或以下 13%
$1,885 交易量
$1,885 交易量
2026-09-06
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
25°C 99%
22°C 19%
23°C 19%
20°C或以下 13%
$1,885 交易量
$1,885 交易量
2026-09-06
20°C或以下
$5 交易量
否
21°C
$15 交易量
否
22°C
$15 交易量
否
23°C
$74 交易量
否
24°C
$36 交易量
否
25°C
$540 交易量
是
26°C
$1,020 交易量
否
27°C
$40 交易量
否
28°C
$45 交易量
否
29°C
$45 交易量
否
30°C或更高
$50 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and real-time observations indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 6, driven by high humidity, dew points around 25°C, light variable winds, and persistent cloud cover with scattered rain that limits nocturnal radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological September averages of 24.8°C lows and recent ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation under southerly flow. The elevated market-implied odds for 25°C capture this consensus, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of stronger northerly advection or clearer skies needed for greater cooling. Official station data will finalize resolution amid typical late-summer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,885結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and real-time observations indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 6, driven by high humidity, dew points around 25°C, light variable winds, and persistent cloud cover with scattered rain that limits nocturnal radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological September averages of 24.8°C lows and recent ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation under southerly flow. The elevated market-implied odds for 25°C capture this consensus, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of stronger northerly advection or clearer skies needed for greater cooling. Official station data will finalize resolution amid typical late-summer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,885結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models and real-time observations indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 6, driven by high humidity, dew points around 25°C, light variable winds, and persistent cloud cover with scattered rain that limits nocturnal radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological September averages of 24.8°C lows and recent ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation under southerly flow. The elevated market-implied odds for 25°C capture this consensus, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of stronger northerly advection or clearer skies needed for greater cooling. Official station data will finalize resolution amid typical late-summer conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions