Recent forecasts from meteorological models and observations position the overnight low in Taipei near 22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with the market's strong 90.5% implied probability for exactly 22°C, reflecting consensus on radiative cooling overnight without significant warm-air advection or tropical moisture influence. Typical early-September minima hover around 24°C, but current synoptic patterns and recent daily drops into the low 20s support the tighter range. A late-night increase in cloud cover or unexpected southeasterly flow could raise the minimum toward 23°C or higher, though updated model runs show limited likelihood before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日臺北最低氣溫?
22°C 99%
19°C或以下 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
20°C <1%
$2,222 交易量
$2,222 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
22°C 99%
19°C或以下 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
20°C <1%
$2,222 交易量
$2,222 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from meteorological models and observations position the overnight low in Taipei near 22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with the market's strong 90.5% implied probability for exactly 22°C, reflecting consensus on radiative cooling overnight without significant warm-air advection or tropical moisture influence. Typical early-September minima hover around 24°C, but current synoptic patterns and recent daily drops into the low 20s support the tighter range. A late-night increase in cloud cover or unexpected southeasterly flow could raise the minimum toward 23°C or higher, though updated model runs show limited likelihood before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions