**Clear skies and northeasterly flow under high pressure have produced a stable overnight minimum near 20°C in Istanbul on September 7, 2026, aligning with the market’s 99.5% implied probability for that exact low.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from stations such as Atatürk Airport show temperatures falling from afternoon highs of 25–28°C to lows of 18–21°C by early morning, consistent with climatological September norms and GFS/ECMWF model consensus. Light to moderate northeast winds of 10–20 km/h have limited radiative cooling, while negligible cloud cover and zero precipitation have prevented any downward deviation. The 4.5% odds on 14°C or below reflect the low historical frequency of such cold anomalies this early in the season. Only an unexpected late surge in northerly winds or unforecasted clear-sky radiative loss could realistically push the minimum below 18°C before the day closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
9月7日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
20°C 100.0%
18°C 5%
17°C 2.9%
14°C或以下 1.0%
$888 交易量
$888 交易量
2026-09-07
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
18°C 5%
17°C 2.9%
14°C或以下 1.0%
$888 交易量
$888 交易量
2026-09-07
14°C或以下
$5 交易量
否
15°C
$60 交易量
否
16°C
$60 交易量
否
17°C
$10 交易量
否
18°C
$25 交易量
否
19°C
$35 交易量
否
20°C
$193 交易量
是
21°C
$229 交易量
否
22°C
$201 交易量
否
23°C
$35 交易量
否
24°C或更高
$35 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and northeasterly flow under high pressure have produced a stable overnight minimum near 20°C in Istanbul on September 7, 2026, aligning with the market’s 99.5% implied probability for that exact low.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from stations such as Atatürk Airport show temperatures falling from afternoon highs of 25–28°C to lows of 18–21°C by early morning, consistent with climatological September norms and GFS/ECMWF model consensus. Light to moderate northeast winds of 10–20 km/h have limited radiative cooling, while negligible cloud cover and zero precipitation have prevented any downward deviation. The 4.5% odds on 14°C or below reflect the low historical frequency of such cold anomalies this early in the season. Only an unexpected late surge in northerly winds or unforecasted clear-sky radiative loss could realistically push the minimum below 18°C before the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$888結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and northeasterly flow under high pressure have produced a stable overnight minimum near 20°C in Istanbul on September 7, 2026, aligning with the market’s 99.5% implied probability for that exact low.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from stations such as Atatürk Airport show temperatures falling from afternoon highs of 25–28°C to lows of 18–21°C by early morning, consistent with climatological September norms and GFS/ECMWF model consensus. Light to moderate northeast winds of 10–20 km/h have limited radiative cooling, while negligible cloud cover and zero precipitation have prevented any downward deviation. The 4.5% odds on 14°C or below reflect the low historical frequency of such cold anomalies this early in the season. Only an unexpected late surge in northerly winds or unforecasted clear-sky radiative loss could realistically push the minimum below 18°C before the day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$888結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Clear skies and northeasterly flow under high pressure have produced a stable overnight minimum near 20°C in Istanbul on September 7, 2026, aligning with the market’s 99.5% implied probability for that exact low.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from stations such as Atatürk Airport show temperatures falling from afternoon highs of 25–28°C to lows of 18–21°C by early morning, consistent with climatological September norms and GFS/ECMWF model consensus. Light to moderate northeast winds of 10–20 km/h have limited radiative cooling, while negligible cloud cover and zero precipitation have prevented any downward deviation. The 4.5% odds on 14°C or below reflect the low historical frequency of such cold anomalies this early in the season. Only an unexpected late surge in northerly winds or unforecasted clear-sky radiative loss could realistically push the minimum below 18°C before the day closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions