Current forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a highest temperature of 21–22°C in Istanbul on September 16 amid persistent cloud cover, northeast winds around 6–8 m/s, and light precipitation chances. These conditions suppress daytime warming relative to seasonal norms near 24°C, with dew points near 14–15°C and high humidity limiting solar heating. Multiple sources align on this range, supporting the market's strong consensus around 22°C as the leading outcome while assigning modest implied probability to 23°C or higher. Final resolution will depend on official station maxima, with any model shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed representing the main variables that could adjust temperatures by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月16日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
22°C 63%
21°C 25%
23°C 11%
20°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
25%
22°C
63%
23°C
11%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
22°C 63%
21°C 25%
23°C 11%
20°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
18°C或以下
$171 交易量
1%
19°C
$133 交易量
2%
20°C
$534 交易量
4%
21°C
$1,395 交易量
25%
22°C
$1,631 交易量
63%
23°C
$669 交易量
11%
24°C
$263 交易量
2%
25°C
$215 交易量
2%
26°C
$203 交易量
<1%
27°C
$183 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$189 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a highest temperature of 21–22°C in Istanbul on September 16 amid persistent cloud cover, northeast winds around 6–8 m/s, and light precipitation chances. These conditions suppress daytime warming relative to seasonal norms near 24°C, with dew points near 14–15°C and high humidity limiting solar heating. Multiple sources align on this range, supporting the market's strong consensus around 22°C as the leading outcome while assigning modest implied probability to 23°C or higher. Final resolution will depend on official station maxima, with any model shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed representing the main variables that could adjust temperatures by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,587結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a highest temperature of 21–22°C in Istanbul on September 16 amid persistent cloud cover, northeast winds around 6–8 m/s, and light precipitation chances. These conditions suppress daytime warming relative to seasonal norms near 24°C, with dew points near 14–15°C and high humidity limiting solar heating. Multiple sources align on this range, supporting the market's strong consensus around 22°C as the leading outcome while assigning modest implied probability to 23°C or higher. Final resolution will depend on official station maxima, with any model shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed representing the main variables that could adjust temperatures by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,587結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a highest temperature of 21–22°C in Istanbul on September 16 amid persistent cloud cover, northeast winds around 6–8 m/s, and light precipitation chances. These conditions suppress daytime warming relative to seasonal norms near 24°C, with dew points near 14–15°C and high humidity limiting solar heating. Multiple sources align on this range, supporting the market's strong consensus around 22°C as the leading outcome while assigning modest implied probability to 23°C or higher. Final resolution will depend on official station maxima, with any model shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed representing the main variables that could adjust temperatures by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions