**Trader consensus around 15–16°C as Istanbul’s lowest temperature on September 16, 2026, reflects current forecast guidance showing overnight lows near 15–18°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and moderate northeast winds.** High humidity and limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover are keeping minimums from dropping further, while light precipitation and advection of slightly cooler maritime air support the lower end of the range. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and urban heat retention across stations; small shifts in wind speed or clearing timing can easily separate 15°C from 16°C outcomes. With resolution criteria tied to official meteorological observations, traders are weighting the latest runs showing stabilization near these values ahead of any final overnight updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
9月16日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
15°C 100%
16°C 51%
19°C 49%
20°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
13°C或以下
10%
14°C
18%
15°C
100%
16°C
51%
17°C
8%
18°C
48%
19°C
49%
20°C
48%
21°C
19%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
15°C 100%
16°C 51%
19°C 49%
20°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
13°C或以下
$117 交易量
10%
14°C
$0 交易量
18%
15°C
$0 交易量
100%
16°C
$15 交易量
51%
17°C
$34 交易量
8%
18°C
$39 交易量
48%
19°C
$33 交易量
49%
20°C
$43 交易量
48%
21°C
$0 交易量
19%
22°C
$21 交易量
<1%
23°C或更高
$22 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 15–16°C as Istanbul’s lowest temperature on September 16, 2026, reflects current forecast guidance showing overnight lows near 15–18°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and moderate northeast winds.** High humidity and limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover are keeping minimums from dropping further, while light precipitation and advection of slightly cooler maritime air support the lower end of the range. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and urban heat retention across stations; small shifts in wind speed or clearing timing can easily separate 15°C from 16°C outcomes. With resolution criteria tied to official meteorological observations, traders are weighting the latest runs showing stabilization near these values ahead of any final overnight updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$324結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 15–16°C as Istanbul’s lowest temperature on September 16, 2026, reflects current forecast guidance showing overnight lows near 15–18°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and moderate northeast winds.** High humidity and limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover are keeping minimums from dropping further, while light precipitation and advection of slightly cooler maritime air support the lower end of the range. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and urban heat retention across stations; small shifts in wind speed or clearing timing can easily separate 15°C from 16°C outcomes. With resolution criteria tied to official meteorological observations, traders are weighting the latest runs showing stabilization near these values ahead of any final overnight updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$324結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Trader consensus around 15–16°C as Istanbul’s lowest temperature on September 16, 2026, reflects current forecast guidance showing overnight lows near 15–18°C under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and moderate northeast winds.** High humidity and limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover are keeping minimums from dropping further, while light precipitation and advection of slightly cooler maritime air support the lower end of the range. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and urban heat retention across stations; small shifts in wind speed or clearing timing can easily separate 15°C from 16°C outcomes. With resolution criteria tied to official meteorological observations, traders are weighting the latest runs showing stabilization near these values ahead of any final overnight updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions