Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely fall between 15–18°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air from the Black Sea and intermittent cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Scattered showers and elevated humidity may further moderate the low, while any clearing could allow dips closer to 15°C. This uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and exact timing of precipitation explains the near-even market split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes, with specific bins clustered around 17–20°C reflecting ensemble consensus. Official observations from Istanbul stations will resolve the market within hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
9月17日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
15°C或以下 89%
25°C或以上 89%
16°C 40%
21°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
15°C或以下
89%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
19%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C或以上
89%
15°C或以下 89%
25°C或以上 89%
16°C 40%
21°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
89%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$0 交易量
22%
18°C
$0 交易量
22%
19°C
$0 交易量
22%
20°C
$0 交易量
22%
21°C
$0 交易量
40%
22°C
$0 交易量
19%
23°C
$0 交易量
18%
24°C
$0 交易量
18%
25°C或以上
$0 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely fall between 15–18°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air from the Black Sea and intermittent cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Scattered showers and elevated humidity may further moderate the low, while any clearing could allow dips closer to 15°C. This uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and exact timing of precipitation explains the near-even market split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes, with specific bins clustered around 17–20°C reflecting ensemble consensus. Official observations from Istanbul stations will resolve the market within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely fall between 15–18°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air from the Black Sea and intermittent cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Scattered showers and elevated humidity may further moderate the low, while any clearing could allow dips closer to 15°C. This uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and exact timing of precipitation explains the near-even market split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes, with specific bins clustered around 17–20°C reflecting ensemble consensus. Official observations from Istanbul stations will resolve the market within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely fall between 15–18°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air from the Black Sea and intermittent cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Scattered showers and elevated humidity may further moderate the low, while any clearing could allow dips closer to 15°C. This uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and exact timing of precipitation explains the near-even market split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes, with specific bins clustered around 17–20°C reflecting ensemble consensus. Official observations from Istanbul stations will resolve the market within hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions