Recent model guidance for Paris shows notable spread in the overnight minimum on September 7, with some runs indicating 17–19 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds while others suggest cooler readings near 15 °C if clearer conditions allow stronger radiative cooling. Cloud cover and any scattered showers act as insulation, limiting temperature drops, whereas clearer intervals and weaker southerly flow could permit more heat loss. Average September lows hover near 12 °C, but current warm advection from the south keeps most projections above that baseline. Traders appear to weigh these competing atmospheric factors equally, with fresh ECMWF and Meteo-France runs expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日巴黎最低溫度?
15°C或以下 69%
25°C或以上 69%
19°C 50%
17°C 49%
15°C或以下
69%
16°C
44%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C或以上
69%
15°C或以下 69%
25°C或以上 69%
19°C 50%
17°C 49%
15°C或以下
69%
16°C
44%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C或以上
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model guidance for Paris shows notable spread in the overnight minimum on September 7, with some runs indicating 17–19 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds while others suggest cooler readings near 15 °C if clearer conditions allow stronger radiative cooling. Cloud cover and any scattered showers act as insulation, limiting temperature drops, whereas clearer intervals and weaker southerly flow could permit more heat loss. Average September lows hover near 12 °C, but current warm advection from the south keeps most projections above that baseline. Traders appear to weigh these competing atmospheric factors equally, with fresh ECMWF and Meteo-France runs expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions