Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place the September 7 maximum in Paris near 26–28 °C, with the spread across members producing the even market distribution among 25–29 °C outcomes. A lingering warm air mass is gradually modified by strengthening westerly flow and increasing cloud cover, while scattered showers—already signaled in several runs—could cap daytime heating or allow brief clearing that boosts temperatures. Historical September averages near 23 °C provide context for the elevated but not extreme outlook, and Météo-France guidance updates through September 6–7 will refine precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日巴黎最高溫度?
27°C 30%
28°C 25%
29°C 16%
26°C 16%
24°C或以下
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
16%
27°C
30%
28°C
25%
29°C
16%
30°C
7%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C或以上
2%
27°C 30%
28°C 25%
29°C 16%
26°C 16%
24°C或以下
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
16%
27°C
30%
28°C
25%
29°C
16%
30°C
7%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place the September 7 maximum in Paris near 26–28 °C, with the spread across members producing the even market distribution among 25–29 °C outcomes. A lingering warm air mass is gradually modified by strengthening westerly flow and increasing cloud cover, while scattered showers—already signaled in several runs—could cap daytime heating or allow brief clearing that boosts temperatures. Historical September averages near 23 °C provide context for the elevated but not extreme outlook, and Météo-France guidance updates through September 6–7 will refine precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions