Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to mostly sunny or partly cloudy conditions over Wuhan on September 7 with daytime highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s°C range, supporting the market's concentration on 32–34°C outcomes. Light easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk favor radiative heating under clear skies, consistent with the current late-summer pattern where seasonal averages near 29°C have been exceeded by several degrees amid persistent warmth. Model consensus remains tight two days ahead, though minor revisions in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from global ensembles and local observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日武漢氣溫最高?
33°C 46%
34°C 28%
32°C 19%
31°C 5%
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
19%
33°C
46%
34°C
28%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C或以上
<1%
33°C 46%
34°C 28%
32°C 19%
31°C 5%
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
19%
33°C
46%
34°C
28%
35°C
5%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to mostly sunny or partly cloudy conditions over Wuhan on September 7 with daytime highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s°C range, supporting the market's concentration on 32–34°C outcomes. Light easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk favor radiative heating under clear skies, consistent with the current late-summer pattern where seasonal averages near 29°C have been exceeded by several degrees amid persistent warmth. Model consensus remains tight two days ahead, though minor revisions in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from global ensembles and local observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions