Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak daily maximum temperature in Wuhan on September 6 near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and low precipitation chances. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C. Subtle differences among ensemble members arise from variations in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology shows typical maxima around 29°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-average conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日武漢氣溫最高？
9月6日武漢氣溫最高？
33°C 35%
34°C 34%
32°C 15%
35°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
15%
33°C
35%
34°C
34%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C或以上
3%
33°C 35%
34°C 34%
32°C 15%
35°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
28°C或以下
$87 交易量
<1%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
4%
31°C
$0 交易量
9%
32°C
$83 交易量
15%
33°C
$219 交易量
35%
34°C
$36 交易量
34%
35°C
$73 交易量
14%
36°C
$8 交易量
4%
37°C
$0 交易量
2%
38°C或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak daily maximum temperature in Wuhan on September 6 near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and low precipitation chances. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C. Subtle differences among ensemble members arise from variations in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology shows typical maxima around 29°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-average conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$506結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak daily maximum temperature in Wuhan on September 6 near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and low precipitation chances. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C. Subtle differences among ensemble members arise from variations in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology shows typical maxima around 29°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-average conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$506結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak daily maximum temperature in Wuhan on September 6 near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and low precipitation chances. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C. Subtle differences among ensemble members arise from variations in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology shows typical maxima around 29°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-average conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions