Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Seoul and Incheon on September 4, 2026, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting peak temperatures near 29–30 °C. This aligns with late-summer high-pressure dominance and typical September diurnal ranges for the region, where coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea limits extremes compared to inland areas. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5 % implied probability for 30 °C and 30.5 % for 29 °C, tracks these model outputs and historical analogs showing average early-September highs around 28–30 °C. No major forecast revisions or atmospheric shifts have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
9月4日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
30°C 45%
29°C 31%
31°C 12%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
31%
30°C
45%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C或以上
1%
30°C 45%
29°C 31%
31°C 12%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
$291 交易量
<1%
24°C
$271 交易量
<1%
25°C
$611 交易量
<1%
26°C
$460 交易量
<1%
27°C
$685 交易量
3%
28°C
$718 交易量
10%
29°C
$730 交易量
31%
30°C
$1,632 交易量
45%
31°C
$1,561 交易量
12%
32°C
$532 交易量
4%
33°C或以上
$949 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Seoul and Incheon on September 4, 2026, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting peak temperatures near 29–30 °C. This aligns with late-summer high-pressure dominance and typical September diurnal ranges for the region, where coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea limits extremes compared to inland areas. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5 % implied probability for 30 °C and 30.5 % for 29 °C, tracks these model outputs and historical analogs showing average early-September highs around 28–30 °C. No major forecast revisions or atmospheric shifts have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$8,358結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Seoul and Incheon on September 4, 2026, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting peak temperatures near 29–30 °C. This aligns with late-summer high-pressure dominance and typical September diurnal ranges for the region, where coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea limits extremes compared to inland areas. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5 % implied probability for 30 °C and 30.5 % for 29 °C, tracks these model outputs and historical analogs showing average early-September highs around 28–30 °C. No major forecast revisions or atmospheric shifts have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,358結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Seoul and Incheon on September 4, 2026, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting peak temperatures near 29–30 °C. This aligns with late-summer high-pressure dominance and typical September diurnal ranges for the region, where coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea limits extremes compared to inland areas. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5 % implied probability for 30 °C and 30.5 % for 29 °C, tracks these model outputs and historical analogs showing average early-September highs around 28–30 °C. No major forecast revisions or atmospheric shifts have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions