Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a nighttime low of 21°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 4 under clear skies and steady northeasterly winds, driving the 97.2% market-implied odds for that outcome. Daytime highs near 29–30°C and gradual radiative cooling overnight align with typical early-September climatology, with consistent model consensus and current surface observations showing temperatures tracking precisely toward this threshold. Rare deviations could arise from localized cloud increases or wind shifts that slow cooling, though such changes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and lack of frontal activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月4日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
21°C 97.2%
20°C 1.9%
19°C 1.8%
15°C或以下 <1%
$8,134 交易量
$8,134 交易量
2026-09-04
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
97%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
21°C 97.2%
20°C 1.9%
19°C 1.8%
15°C或以下 <1%
$8,134 交易量
$8,134 交易量
2026-09-04
15°C或以下
$1,543 交易量
<1%
16°C
$81 交易量
<1%
17°C
$81 交易量
<1%
18°C
$946 交易量
<1%
19°C
$645 交易量
2%
20°C
$557 交易量
2%
21°C
$634 交易量
97%
22°C
$944 交易量
<1%
23°C
$411 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,096 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$1,196 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a nighttime low of 21°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 4 under clear skies and steady northeasterly winds, driving the 97.2% market-implied odds for that outcome. Daytime highs near 29–30°C and gradual radiative cooling overnight align with typical early-September climatology, with consistent model consensus and current surface observations showing temperatures tracking precisely toward this threshold. Rare deviations could arise from localized cloud increases or wind shifts that slow cooling, though such changes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and lack of frontal activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$8,134結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a nighttime low of 21°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 4 under clear skies and steady northeasterly winds, driving the 97.2% market-implied odds for that outcome. Daytime highs near 29–30°C and gradual radiative cooling overnight align with typical early-September climatology, with consistent model consensus and current surface observations showing temperatures tracking precisely toward this threshold. Rare deviations could arise from localized cloud increases or wind shifts that slow cooling, though such changes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and lack of frontal activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,134結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a nighttime low of 21°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 4 under clear skies and steady northeasterly winds, driving the 97.2% market-implied odds for that outcome. Daytime highs near 29–30°C and gradual radiative cooling overnight align with typical early-September climatology, with consistent model consensus and current surface observations showing temperatures tracking precisely toward this threshold. Rare deviations could arise from localized cloud increases or wind shifts that slow cooling, though such changes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and lack of frontal activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions