**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C low for Seoul/Incheon on September 5, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This reflects real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, showing clear skies, northeasterly flow, and overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Evening readings near 23–24°C align with expected minima of 19–21°C (roughly 66–70°F), consistent with September climatology where Incheon averages a daily minimum around 18°C. The dominant outcome rests on verified station measurements rather than projections. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor forecast revisions from localized wind shifts or official data adjustments at resolution; however, current conditions and model consensus leave little room for deviation outside the narrow 20°C band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月5日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
20°C 99.5%
19°C <1%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
$11,275 交易量
$11,275 交易量
2026-09-05
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或以上
<1%
20°C 99.5%
19°C <1%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
$11,275 交易量
$11,275 交易量
2026-09-05
13°C或以下
$369 交易量
<1%
14°C
$614 交易量
<1%
15°C
$195 交易量
<1%
16°C
$447 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,138 交易量
<1%
18°C
$951 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,362 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,311 交易量
100%
21°C
$2,964 交易量
<1%
22°C
$788 交易量
<1%
23°C或以上
$175 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C low for Seoul/Incheon on September 5, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This reflects real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, showing clear skies, northeasterly flow, and overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Evening readings near 23–24°C align with expected minima of 19–21°C (roughly 66–70°F), consistent with September climatology where Incheon averages a daily minimum around 18°C.
The dominant outcome rests on verified station measurements rather than projections. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor forecast revisions from localized wind shifts or official data adjustments at resolution; however, current conditions and model consensus leave little room for deviation outside the narrow 20°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$11,275結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C low for Seoul/Incheon on September 5, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This reflects real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, showing clear skies, northeasterly flow, and overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Evening readings near 23–24°C align with expected minima of 19–21°C (roughly 66–70°F), consistent with September climatology where Incheon averages a daily minimum around 18°C.
The dominant outcome rests on verified station measurements rather than projections. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor forecast revisions from localized wind shifts or official data adjustments at resolution; however, current conditions and model consensus leave little room for deviation outside the narrow 20°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,275結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C low for Seoul/Incheon on September 5, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This reflects real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, showing clear skies, northeasterly flow, and overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Evening readings near 23–24°C align with expected minima of 19–21°C (roughly 66–70°F), consistent with September climatology where Incheon averages a daily minimum around 18°C. The dominant outcome rests on verified station measurements rather than projections. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor forecast revisions from localized wind shifts or official data adjustments at resolution; however, current conditions and model consensus leave little room for deviation outside the narrow 20°C band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions