Strong model consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration supports an overnight minimum of 20°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 7, driven by clear skies enabling efficient radiative cooling overnight and light northerly flow limiting warm advection. Current observations show daytime highs near 29°C dropping steadily after sunset under stable high pressure, aligning with historical early-September climatology for the region where typical lows range 18–21°C. This produces the market’s near-100% implied probability on exactly 20°C. A realistic challenge would require rapid cloud buildup or a wind shift that reduces nocturnal cooling rates, potentially lifting the minimum above the threshold before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月7日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
20°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$10,081 交易量
$10,081 交易量
2026-09-07
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24℃或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$10,081 交易量
$10,081 交易量
2026-09-07
14°C或以下
$175 交易量
否
15°C
$772 交易量
否
16°C
$116 交易量
否
17°C
$203 交易量
否
18°C
$731 交易量
否
19°C
$3,542 交易量
否
20°C
$2,793 交易量
是
21°C
$914 交易量
否
22°C
$90 交易量
否
23°C
$185 交易量
否
24℃或以上
$560 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration supports an overnight minimum of 20°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 7, driven by clear skies enabling efficient radiative cooling overnight and light northerly flow limiting warm advection. Current observations show daytime highs near 29°C dropping steadily after sunset under stable high pressure, aligning with historical early-September climatology for the region where typical lows range 18–21°C. This produces the market’s near-100% implied probability on exactly 20°C. A realistic challenge would require rapid cloud buildup or a wind shift that reduces nocturnal cooling rates, potentially lifting the minimum above the threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,081結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration supports an overnight minimum of 20°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 7, driven by clear skies enabling efficient radiative cooling overnight and light northerly flow limiting warm advection. Current observations show daytime highs near 29°C dropping steadily after sunset under stable high pressure, aligning with historical early-September climatology for the region where typical lows range 18–21°C. This produces the market’s near-100% implied probability on exactly 20°C. A realistic challenge would require rapid cloud buildup or a wind shift that reduces nocturnal cooling rates, potentially lifting the minimum above the threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,081結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Strong model consensus from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration supports an overnight minimum of 20°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 7, driven by clear skies enabling efficient radiative cooling overnight and light northerly flow limiting warm advection. Current observations show daytime highs near 29°C dropping steadily after sunset under stable high pressure, aligning with historical early-September climatology for the region where typical lows range 18–21°C. This produces the market’s near-100% implied probability on exactly 20°C. A realistic challenge would require rapid cloud buildup or a wind shift that reduces nocturnal cooling rates, potentially lifting the minimum above the threshold before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions