**Trader consensus has converged on a 13°C daily maximum for Wellington on September 10, 2026, reflecting tight agreement across official forecasts.** New Zealand MetService and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) project a high near 12–14°C under persistent southerly flow, cloud cover, and periods of rain, with peak readings expected mid-afternoon before cooler air arrives. Current observations from Wellington International Airport show temperatures hovering in the 9–12°C range through midday, consistent with the narrow 13°C band. Historical September climatology for the region averages 13–15°C highs, providing additional context for the positioning. Minor model spread or localized variations could shift the exact recorded maximum by 1°C, yet the overwhelming probability assigned to 13°C indicates traders view such deviations as low-likelihood given the stable synoptic pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9月10日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
13°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$32,976 交易量
$32,976 交易量
2026-09-10
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或以上
<1%
13°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$32,976 交易量
$32,976 交易量
2026-09-10
8°C或以下
$1,306 交易量
<1%
9°C
$1,064 交易量
<1%
10°C
$1,292 交易量
<1%
11°C
$2,041 交易量
<1%
12°C
$6,882 交易量
<1%
13°C
$8,034 交易量
100%
14°C
$7,846 交易量
<1%
15°C
$2,558 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,223 交易量
<1%
17°C
$361 交易量
<1%
18°C或以上
$369 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 13°C daily maximum for Wellington on September 10, 2026, reflecting tight agreement across official forecasts.**
New Zealand MetService and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) project a high near 12–14°C under persistent southerly flow, cloud cover, and periods of rain, with peak readings expected mid-afternoon before cooler air arrives. Current observations from Wellington International Airport show temperatures hovering in the 9–12°C range through midday, consistent with the narrow 13°C band. Historical September climatology for the region averages 13–15°C highs, providing additional context for the positioning. Minor model spread or localized variations could shift the exact recorded maximum by 1°C, yet the overwhelming probability assigned to 13°C indicates traders view such deviations as low-likelihood given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$32,976結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 13°C daily maximum for Wellington on September 10, 2026, reflecting tight agreement across official forecasts.**
New Zealand MetService and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) project a high near 12–14°C under persistent southerly flow, cloud cover, and periods of rain, with peak readings expected mid-afternoon before cooler air arrives. Current observations from Wellington International Airport show temperatures hovering in the 9–12°C range through midday, consistent with the narrow 13°C band. Historical September climatology for the region averages 13–15°C highs, providing additional context for the positioning. Minor model spread or localized variations could shift the exact recorded maximum by 1°C, yet the overwhelming probability assigned to 13°C indicates traders view such deviations as low-likelihood given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,976結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus has converged on a 13°C daily maximum for Wellington on September 10, 2026, reflecting tight agreement across official forecasts.** New Zealand MetService and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) project a high near 12–14°C under persistent southerly flow, cloud cover, and periods of rain, with peak readings expected mid-afternoon before cooler air arrives. Current observations from Wellington International Airport show temperatures hovering in the 9–12°C range through midday, consistent with the narrow 13°C band. Historical September climatology for the region averages 13–15°C highs, providing additional context for the positioning. Minor model spread or localized variations could shift the exact recorded maximum by 1°C, yet the overwhelming probability assigned to 13°C indicates traders view such deviations as low-likelihood given the stable synoptic pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions