Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9月11日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
15°C 64%
14°C 30%
16°C 5%
12°C 2%
最新
$16,407 交易量
最新
$16,407 交易量
2026-09-11
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
30%
15°C
64%
16°C
5%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
15°C 64%
14°C 30%
16°C 5%
12°C 2%
最新
$16,407 交易量
最新
$16,407 交易量
2026-09-11
9°C或以下
$944 交易量
<1%
10°C
$176 交易量
<1%
11°C
$284 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,174 交易量
2%
13°C
$2,265 交易量
2%
14°C
$2,368 交易量
30%
15°C
$5,497 交易量
64%
16°C
$2,255 交易量
5%
17°C
$742 交易量
<1%
18°C
$642 交易量
<1%
19°C或以上
$471 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,407結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,407結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions