**Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain daily maximum for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, reflecting verified station observations peaking near this threshold amid partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating.** Official meteorological data show a midday high reaching approximately 31.7–32°C under light northeasterly winds and humidity around 50–60%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions where reduced cloud cover and weak steering patterns allow peak insolation. Model consensus from regional forecasts supported this range without significant cooling from precipitation or stronger onshore flow. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with real-time measurements leaving little room for deviation once the full daily record closes. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day intensification of rain or a sharp wind shift that caps the high below 33°C, though current observations make this unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日深圳最高溫度？
9月10日深圳最高溫度？
33°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$38,114 交易量
$38,114 交易量
2026-09-10
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
33°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$38,114 交易量
$38,114 交易量
2026-09-10
26°C或以下
$699 交易量
否
27°C
$840 交易量
否
28°C
$1,396 交易量
否
29°C
$2,122 交易量
否
30°C
$7,296 交易量
否
31°C
$6,589 交易量
否
32°C
$8,287 交易量
否
33°C
$5,393 交易量
是
34°C
$3,938 交易量
否
35°C
$1,348 交易量
否
36°C或以上
$206 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain daily maximum for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, reflecting verified station observations peaking near this threshold amid partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating.** Official meteorological data show a midday high reaching approximately 31.7–32°C under light northeasterly winds and humidity around 50–60%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions where reduced cloud cover and weak steering patterns allow peak insolation. Model consensus from regional forecasts supported this range without significant cooling from precipitation or stronger onshore flow. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with real-time measurements leaving little room for deviation once the full daily record closes. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day intensification of rain or a sharp wind shift that caps the high below 33°C, though current observations make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$38,114結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain daily maximum for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, reflecting verified station observations peaking near this threshold amid partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating.** Official meteorological data show a midday high reaching approximately 31.7–32°C under light northeasterly winds and humidity around 50–60%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions where reduced cloud cover and weak steering patterns allow peak insolation. Model consensus from regional forecasts supported this range without significant cooling from precipitation or stronger onshore flow. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with real-time measurements leaving little room for deviation once the full daily record closes. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day intensification of rain or a sharp wind shift that caps the high below 33°C, though current observations make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,114結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain daily maximum for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, reflecting verified station observations peaking near this threshold amid partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating.** Official meteorological data show a midday high reaching approximately 31.7–32°C under light northeasterly winds and humidity around 50–60%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions where reduced cloud cover and weak steering patterns allow peak insolation. Model consensus from regional forecasts supported this range without significant cooling from precipitation or stronger onshore flow. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with real-time measurements leaving little room for deviation once the full daily record closes. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day intensification of rain or a sharp wind shift that caps the high below 33°C, though current observations make this unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions