**Active southwest monsoon (habagat) and scattered thunderstorms are the primary factors capping Manila's September 13 daytime high.** Official PAGASA guidance forecasts a 32°C maximum for Metro Manila under cloudy skies with a 60% rain chance, consistent with multiple model runs showing highs of 30–32°C (85–89°F) amid high humidity, light winds, and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes—32°C at 44% and 31°C at 28%—as persistent moisture and convection typically suppress peaks near or slightly below the seasonal norm. A 33°C outcome (14.5%) remains possible only with brief clearing, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-30°C reflect limited upside from monsoon dynamics and the low likelihood of significant cooling. Updated PAGASA briefings and model consensus on September 13 will provide the final resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月13日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
32°C 44%
31°C 28%
33°C 15%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
28%
32°C
44%
33°C
15%
34°C或以上
5%
32°C 44%
31°C 28%
33°C 15%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
24°C或以下
$247 交易量
<1%
25°C
$287 交易量
<1%
26°C
$275 交易量
<1%
27°C
$113 交易量
<1%
28°C
$803 交易量
1%
29°C
$406 交易量
3%
30°C
$561 交易量
8%
31°C
$1,650 交易量
28%
32°C
$2,480 交易量
44%
33°C
$1,040 交易量
15%
34°C或以上
$545 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon (habagat) and scattered thunderstorms are the primary factors capping Manila's September 13 daytime high.** Official PAGASA guidance forecasts a 32°C maximum for Metro Manila under cloudy skies with a 60% rain chance, consistent with multiple model runs showing highs of 30–32°C (85–89°F) amid high humidity, light winds, and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes—32°C at 44% and 31°C at 28%—as persistent moisture and convection typically suppress peaks near or slightly below the seasonal norm. A 33°C outcome (14.5%) remains possible only with brief clearing, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-30°C reflect limited upside from monsoon dynamics and the low likelihood of significant cooling. Updated PAGASA briefings and model consensus on September 13 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$8,407結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon (habagat) and scattered thunderstorms are the primary factors capping Manila's September 13 daytime high.** Official PAGASA guidance forecasts a 32°C maximum for Metro Manila under cloudy skies with a 60% rain chance, consistent with multiple model runs showing highs of 30–32°C (85–89°F) amid high humidity, light winds, and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes—32°C at 44% and 31°C at 28%—as persistent moisture and convection typically suppress peaks near or slightly below the seasonal norm. A 33°C outcome (14.5%) remains possible only with brief clearing, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-30°C reflect limited upside from monsoon dynamics and the low likelihood of significant cooling. Updated PAGASA briefings and model consensus on September 13 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,407結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Active southwest monsoon (habagat) and scattered thunderstorms are the primary factors capping Manila's September 13 daytime high.** Official PAGASA guidance forecasts a 32°C maximum for Metro Manila under cloudy skies with a 60% rain chance, consistent with multiple model runs showing highs of 30–32°C (85–89°F) amid high humidity, light winds, and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes—32°C at 44% and 31°C at 28%—as persistent moisture and convection typically suppress peaks near or slightly below the seasonal norm. A 33°C outcome (14.5%) remains possible only with brief clearing, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-30°C reflect limited upside from monsoon dynamics and the low likelihood of significant cooling. Updated PAGASA briefings and model consensus on September 13 will provide the final resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions