Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon (Habagat), which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and persistent moisture further moderate temperature drops, keeping readings above the seasonal baseline of roughly 26°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 25–27°C because small differences in rainfall timing or cloud thickness can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while the low probability assigned to sub-23°C outcomes reflects the unlikelihood of clear-sky conditions strong enough for greater cooling. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
9月13日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
19°C或以下 99%
26°C 52%
27°C 51%
24°C 48%
$362 交易量
$362 交易量
2026-09-13
19°C或以下
99%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
18%
24°C
48%
25°C
-
26°C
52%
27°C
51%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
19°C或以下 99%
26°C 52%
27°C 51%
24°C 48%
$362 交易量
$362 交易量
2026-09-13
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
99%
20°C
$75 交易量
2%
21°C
$75 交易量
2%
22°C
$79 交易量
3%
23°C
$72 交易量
18%
24°C
$14 交易量
48%
25°C
$5 交易量
-
26°C
$0 交易量
52%
27°C
$42 交易量
51%
28°C
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon (Habagat), which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and persistent moisture further moderate temperature drops, keeping readings above the seasonal baseline of roughly 26°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 25–27°C because small differences in rainfall timing or cloud thickness can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while the low probability assigned to sub-23°C outcomes reflects the unlikelihood of clear-sky conditions strong enough for greater cooling. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$362結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon (Habagat), which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and persistent moisture further moderate temperature drops, keeping readings above the seasonal baseline of roughly 26°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 25–27°C because small differences in rainfall timing or cloud thickness can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while the low probability assigned to sub-23°C outcomes reflects the unlikelihood of clear-sky conditions strong enough for greater cooling. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$362結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETRecent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 24–26°C amid the southwest monsoon (Habagat), which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and persistent moisture further moderate temperature drops, keeping readings above the seasonal baseline of roughly 26°C. Trader sentiment clusters on 25–27°C because small differences in rainfall timing or cloud thickness can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while the low probability assigned to sub-23°C outcomes reflects the unlikelihood of clear-sky conditions strong enough for greater cooling. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions