**Forecast model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and GFS points to a daily high near 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, aligning with the market's 66.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Mid-September climatology features average highs of about 15.9°C, moderated by Baltic Sea influences and typical autumnal cloud cover that limits daytime warming. Current conditions show light southwesterly flow and modest moisture, with models indicating limited intensification potential or significant deviations. Minor spreads across runs—some projecting 15°C or 17°C—account for the secondary probabilities at 19% and 10%, respectively, while extremes remain low-probability given the stable pattern. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs against historical September variability as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日赫爾辛基的最高溫度？
9月13日赫爾辛基的最高溫度？
16°C 65%
15°C 19%
17°C 10%
14°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
19%
16°C
65%
17°C
10%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
16°C 65%
15°C 19%
17°C 10%
14°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
11°C或以下
$85 交易量
<1%
12°C
$153 交易量
<1%
13°C
$169 交易量
2%
14°C
$586 交易量
3%
15°C
$1,314 交易量
19%
16°C
$3,685 交易量
65%
17°C
$713 交易量
10%
18°C
$339 交易量
2%
19°C
$191 交易量
1%
20°C
$189 交易量
<1%
21°C或以上
$153 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and GFS points to a daily high near 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, aligning with the market's 66.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Mid-September climatology features average highs of about 15.9°C, moderated by Baltic Sea influences and typical autumnal cloud cover that limits daytime warming. Current conditions show light southwesterly flow and modest moisture, with models indicating limited intensification potential or significant deviations. Minor spreads across runs—some projecting 15°C or 17°C—account for the secondary probabilities at 19% and 10%, respectively, while extremes remain low-probability given the stable pattern. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs against historical September variability as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$7,577結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and GFS points to a daily high near 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, aligning with the market's 66.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Mid-September climatology features average highs of about 15.9°C, moderated by Baltic Sea influences and typical autumnal cloud cover that limits daytime warming. Current conditions show light southwesterly flow and modest moisture, with models indicating limited intensification potential or significant deviations. Minor spreads across runs—some projecting 15°C or 17°C—account for the secondary probabilities at 19% and 10%, respectively, while extremes remain low-probability given the stable pattern. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs against historical September variability as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,577結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and GFS points to a daily high near 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, aligning with the market's 66.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Mid-September climatology features average highs of about 15.9°C, moderated by Baltic Sea influences and typical autumnal cloud cover that limits daytime warming. Current conditions show light southwesterly flow and modest moisture, with models indicating limited intensification potential or significant deviations. Minor spreads across runs—some projecting 15°C or 17°C—account for the secondary probabilities at 19% and 10%, respectively, while extremes remain low-probability given the stable pattern. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs against historical September variability as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions