**Recent official forecasts position the lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, near the 9–11°C range that dominates market-implied odds.** Finnish Meteorological Institute observations and guidance through the afternoon showed temperatures falling from daytime highs near 16°C toward overnight lows in the 8–11°C band, consistent with historical September 13 averages of about 9.7°C. Multiple model runs, including those referenced by Met Office and WeatherBug, converged on a minimum around 8–9°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow that limits strong radiative cooling. This alignment of ensemble guidance and the absence of unusual cold advection or clear-sky extremes explains the heavy weighting toward 11°C (50.5%), 9°C (28%), and 10°C (26%) outcomes, while probabilities for 8°C or below remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the final verified minimum from official stations against these converging forecasts as the day concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
9月13日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
11°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$910 交易量
$910 交易量
2026-09-13
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或更高
否
11°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$910 交易量
$910 交易量
2026-09-13
6°C或以下
$75 交易量
否
7°C
$75 交易量
否
8°C
$0 交易量
否
9°C
$0 交易量
否
10°C
$60 交易量
否
11°C
$292 交易量
是
12°C
$130 交易量
否
13°C
$107 交易量
否
14°C
$132 交易量
否
15°C
$15 交易量
否
16°C或更高
$25 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts position the lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, near the 9–11°C range that dominates market-implied odds.**
Finnish Meteorological Institute observations and guidance through the afternoon showed temperatures falling from daytime highs near 16°C toward overnight lows in the 8–11°C band, consistent with historical September 13 averages of about 9.7°C. Multiple model runs, including those referenced by Met Office and WeatherBug, converged on a minimum around 8–9°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow that limits strong radiative cooling. This alignment of ensemble guidance and the absence of unusual cold advection or clear-sky extremes explains the heavy weighting toward 11°C (50.5%), 9°C (28%), and 10°C (26%) outcomes, while probabilities for 8°C or below remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the final verified minimum from official stations against these converging forecasts as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$910結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts position the lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, near the 9–11°C range that dominates market-implied odds.**
Finnish Meteorological Institute observations and guidance through the afternoon showed temperatures falling from daytime highs near 16°C toward overnight lows in the 8–11°C band, consistent with historical September 13 averages of about 9.7°C. Multiple model runs, including those referenced by Met Office and WeatherBug, converged on a minimum around 8–9°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow that limits strong radiative cooling. This alignment of ensemble guidance and the absence of unusual cold advection or clear-sky extremes explains the heavy weighting toward 11°C (50.5%), 9°C (28%), and 10°C (26%) outcomes, while probabilities for 8°C or below remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the final verified minimum from official stations against these converging forecasts as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$910結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Recent official forecasts position the lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, near the 9–11°C range that dominates market-implied odds.** Finnish Meteorological Institute observations and guidance through the afternoon showed temperatures falling from daytime highs near 16°C toward overnight lows in the 8–11°C band, consistent with historical September 13 averages of about 9.7°C. Multiple model runs, including those referenced by Met Office and WeatherBug, converged on a minimum around 8–9°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow that limits strong radiative cooling. This alignment of ensemble guidance and the absence of unusual cold advection or clear-sky extremes explains the heavy weighting toward 11°C (50.5%), 9°C (28%), and 10°C (26%) outcomes, while probabilities for 8°C or below remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the final verified minimum from official stations against these converging forecasts as the day concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions