Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicate a high near 17°C in Helsinki on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, aligning with the 66% market-implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-September conditions, slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 15.7°C, with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure supporting modest daytime warming. The 27.5% odds on 16°C capture potential model spread or slight underperformance, while the low single-digit probabilities for 18°C or higher reflect limited upside from current steering patterns and thermal profiles. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
17°C 66%
16°C 29%
15°C 4%
18°C 4%
$11,248 交易量
$11,248 交易量
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
29%
17°C
66%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
17°C 66%
16°C 29%
15°C 4%
18°C 4%
$11,248 交易量
$11,248 交易量
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
29%
17°C
66%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicate a high near 17°C in Helsinki on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, aligning with the 66% market-implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-September conditions, slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 15.7°C, with minimal precipitation risk and stable high pressure supporting modest daytime warming. The 27.5% odds on 16°C capture potential model spread or slight underperformance, while the low single-digit probabilities for 18°C or higher reflect limited upside from current steering patterns and thermal profiles. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions