Persistent rain and northerly flow from a frontal system are keeping Tokyo's maximum temperatures suppressed near 21°C on September 11, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 20–22°C. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models indicate widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and light winds that limit daytime heating while advecting cooler maritime air. This follows several days of heavy precipitation that have already lowered surface temperatures and soil moisture, reducing sensible heat flux. Historical September baselines near 28°C highlight how atypical the current pattern is, with model consensus pointing to little intensification of warming before the date. Updated runs from regional ensembles will refine the precise peak as the event nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日東京氣溫最高？
9月11日東京氣溫最高？
21°C 37%
20°C 30%
22°C 27%
23°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
30%
21°C
37%
22°C
27%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C或以上
1%
21°C 37%
20°C 30%
22°C 27%
23°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
15°C或以下
$641 交易量
<1%
16°C
$105 交易量
<1%
17°C
$105 交易量
<1%
18°C
$0 交易量
3%
19°C
$13 交易量
5%
20°C
$831 交易量
30%
21°C
$221 交易量
37%
22°C
$28 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
7%
24°C
$5 交易量
3%
25°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and northerly flow from a frontal system are keeping Tokyo's maximum temperatures suppressed near 21°C on September 11, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 20–22°C. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models indicate widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and light winds that limit daytime heating while advecting cooler maritime air. This follows several days of heavy precipitation that have already lowered surface temperatures and soil moisture, reducing sensible heat flux. Historical September baselines near 28°C highlight how atypical the current pattern is, with model consensus pointing to little intensification of warming before the date. Updated runs from regional ensembles will refine the precise peak as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,950結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and northerly flow from a frontal system are keeping Tokyo's maximum temperatures suppressed near 21°C on September 11, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 20–22°C. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models indicate widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and light winds that limit daytime heating while advecting cooler maritime air. This follows several days of heavy precipitation that have already lowered surface temperatures and soil moisture, reducing sensible heat flux. Historical September baselines near 28°C highlight how atypical the current pattern is, with model consensus pointing to little intensification of warming before the date. Updated runs from regional ensembles will refine the precise peak as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,950結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETPersistent rain and northerly flow from a frontal system are keeping Tokyo's maximum temperatures suppressed near 21°C on September 11, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 20–22°C. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models indicate widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and light winds that limit daytime heating while advecting cooler maritime air. This follows several days of heavy precipitation that have already lowered surface temperatures and soil moisture, reducing sensible heat flux. Historical September baselines near 28°C highlight how atypical the current pattern is, with model consensus pointing to little intensification of warming before the date. Updated runs from regional ensembles will refine the precise peak as the event nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions