**Persistent late-summer warmth kept Austin's overnight low in the mid- to upper 70s on September 11, 2026, driving the market's overwhelming 94% consensus on 76-77°F.** Official observations and model guidance showed no significant cold front or radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, with the daily minimum aligning near 77°F at key stations. Historical September averages near 69°F were exceeded due to above-normal heat indices and minimal cloud cover overnight. This outcome reflects trader assessment of real-time NWS data and station reports rather than long-range forecasts. Only an unexpected revision in official minimum readings or a localized microclimate effect at the resolution station could realistically shift the result outside the dominant bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日是奧斯汀的最低溫度？
9月11日是奧斯汀的最低溫度？
76-77°F 95%
74-75°F 14%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
$1,042 交易量
$1,042 交易量
2026-09-11
67°F或以下
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86°F或以上
否
76-77°F 95%
74-75°F 14%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
$1,042 交易量
$1,042 交易量
2026-09-11
67°F或以下
$60 交易量
否
68-69°F
$60 交易量
否
70-71°F
$30 交易量
否
72-73°F
$65 交易量
否
74-75°F
$45 交易量
否
76-77°F
$20 交易量
是
78-79°F
$333 交易量
否
80-81°F
$372 交易量
否
82-83°F
$52 交易量
否
84-85°F
$5 交易量
否
86°F或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer warmth kept Austin's overnight low in the mid- to upper 70s on September 11, 2026, driving the market's overwhelming 94% consensus on 76-77°F.** Official observations and model guidance showed no significant cold front or radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, with the daily minimum aligning near 77°F at key stations. Historical September averages near 69°F were exceeded due to above-normal heat indices and minimal cloud cover overnight. This outcome reflects trader assessment of real-time NWS data and station reports rather than long-range forecasts. Only an unexpected revision in official minimum readings or a localized microclimate effect at the resolution station could realistically shift the result outside the dominant bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,042結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer warmth kept Austin's overnight low in the mid- to upper 70s on September 11, 2026, driving the market's overwhelming 94% consensus on 76-77°F.** Official observations and model guidance showed no significant cold front or radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, with the daily minimum aligning near 77°F at key stations. Historical September averages near 69°F were exceeded due to above-normal heat indices and minimal cloud cover overnight. This outcome reflects trader assessment of real-time NWS data and station reports rather than long-range forecasts. Only an unexpected revision in official minimum readings or a localized microclimate effect at the resolution station could realistically shift the result outside the dominant bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,042結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Persistent late-summer warmth kept Austin's overnight low in the mid- to upper 70s on September 11, 2026, driving the market's overwhelming 94% consensus on 76-77°F.** Official observations and model guidance showed no significant cold front or radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, with the daily minimum aligning near 77°F at key stations. Historical September averages near 69°F were exceeded due to above-normal heat indices and minimal cloud cover overnight. This outcome reflects trader assessment of real-time NWS data and station reports rather than long-range forecasts. Only an unexpected revision in official minimum readings or a localized microclimate effect at the resolution station could realistically shift the result outside the dominant bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions