**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a maximum of 25–27°C in Beijing on September 9, 2026, as the dominant driver of trader positioning.** Recent northerly flow and clearing skies after light rain and cloud cover on September 8 have moderated temperatures, with current runs from GFS-based guidance and other ensembles favoring a peak near 26°C under mostly sunny conditions and light winds. This aligns with the market's leading 52% implied probability on 26°C and secondary support for 25°C, reflecting surface cooling from prior precipitation and seasonal transition toward the September climatological average high of 27.6°C. Historical records show wide variability on the date (20–33°C), but near-term model agreement and lack of southerly advection or subsidence warming keep extremes below 28°C unlikely. Updated model runs and official observations the morning of September 9 will provide the final resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日北京最高溫度？
9月9日北京最高溫度？
26°C 52%
25°C 27%
27°C 15%
24°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
27%
26°C
52%
27°C
15%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
26°C 52%
25°C 27%
27°C 15%
24°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
21°C或以下
$227 交易量
<1%
22°C
$364 交易量
<1%
23°C
$342 交易量
3%
24°C
$726 交易量
4%
25°C
$1,349 交易量
27%
26°C
$3,761 交易量
52%
27°C
$655 交易量
15%
28°C
$616 交易量
4%
29°C
$570 交易量
3%
30°C
$160 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$867 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a maximum of 25–27°C in Beijing on September 9, 2026, as the dominant driver of trader positioning.** Recent northerly flow and clearing skies after light rain and cloud cover on September 8 have moderated temperatures, with current runs from GFS-based guidance and other ensembles favoring a peak near 26°C under mostly sunny conditions and light winds. This aligns with the market's leading 52% implied probability on 26°C and secondary support for 25°C, reflecting surface cooling from prior precipitation and seasonal transition toward the September climatological average high of 27.6°C. Historical records show wide variability on the date (20–33°C), but near-term model agreement and lack of southerly advection or subsidence warming keep extremes below 28°C unlikely. Updated model runs and official observations the morning of September 9 will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$9,637結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a maximum of 25–27°C in Beijing on September 9, 2026, as the dominant driver of trader positioning.** Recent northerly flow and clearing skies after light rain and cloud cover on September 8 have moderated temperatures, with current runs from GFS-based guidance and other ensembles favoring a peak near 26°C under mostly sunny conditions and light winds. This aligns with the market's leading 52% implied probability on 26°C and secondary support for 25°C, reflecting surface cooling from prior precipitation and seasonal transition toward the September climatological average high of 27.6°C. Historical records show wide variability on the date (20–33°C), but near-term model agreement and lack of southerly advection or subsidence warming keep extremes below 28°C unlikely. Updated model runs and official observations the morning of September 9 will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,637結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a maximum of 25–27°C in Beijing on September 9, 2026, as the dominant driver of trader positioning.** Recent northerly flow and clearing skies after light rain and cloud cover on September 8 have moderated temperatures, with current runs from GFS-based guidance and other ensembles favoring a peak near 26°C under mostly sunny conditions and light winds. This aligns with the market's leading 52% implied probability on 26°C and secondary support for 25°C, reflecting surface cooling from prior precipitation and seasonal transition toward the September climatological average high of 27.6°C. Historical records show wide variability on the date (20–33°C), but near-term model agreement and lack of southerly advection or subsidence warming keep extremes below 28°C unlikely. Updated model runs and official observations the morning of September 9 will provide the final resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions