Recent cold air advection following light rainfall on September 8 has established clear skies and light northerly winds over Beijing, driving overnight radiative cooling and positioning the September 9 minimum near 14°C according to consensus from China Meteorological Administration and international models. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 14°C reflects alignment with these forecasts, which show dew points near 10–12°C and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. This value sits below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 17.5°C but well above the station record of 10.7°C. Minor deviations in urban heat island effects, exact clearing timing, or localized wind shifts could realistically produce a 13°C or 15°C reading before official verification closes the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日北京最低溫度？
9月9日北京最低溫度？
14°C 95%
13°C 21%
12°C 10%
11°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
10%
13°C
21%
14°C
95%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
14°C 95%
13°C 21%
12°C 10%
11°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
9°C或以下
$201 交易量
1%
10°C
$70 交易量
1%
11°C
$40 交易量
6%
12°C
$80 交易量
10%
13°C
$10 交易量
21%
14°C
$146 交易量
95%
15°C
$192 交易量
<1%
16°C
$208 交易量
<1%
17°C
$259 交易量
<1%
18°C
$229 交易量
<1%
19°C或以上
$260 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection following light rainfall on September 8 has established clear skies and light northerly winds over Beijing, driving overnight radiative cooling and positioning the September 9 minimum near 14°C according to consensus from China Meteorological Administration and international models. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 14°C reflects alignment with these forecasts, which show dew points near 10–12°C and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. This value sits below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 17.5°C but well above the station record of 10.7°C. Minor deviations in urban heat island effects, exact clearing timing, or localized wind shifts could realistically produce a 13°C or 15°C reading before official verification closes the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,695結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection following light rainfall on September 8 has established clear skies and light northerly winds over Beijing, driving overnight radiative cooling and positioning the September 9 minimum near 14°C according to consensus from China Meteorological Administration and international models. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 14°C reflects alignment with these forecasts, which show dew points near 10–12°C and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. This value sits below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 17.5°C but well above the station record of 10.7°C. Minor deviations in urban heat island effects, exact clearing timing, or localized wind shifts could realistically produce a 13°C or 15°C reading before official verification closes the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,695結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent cold air advection following light rainfall on September 8 has established clear skies and light northerly winds over Beijing, driving overnight radiative cooling and positioning the September 9 minimum near 14°C according to consensus from China Meteorological Administration and international models. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 14°C reflects alignment with these forecasts, which show dew points near 10–12°C and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. This value sits below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 17.5°C but well above the station record of 10.7°C. Minor deviations in urban heat island effects, exact clearing timing, or localized wind shifts could realistically produce a 13°C or 15°C reading before official verification closes the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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