**Trader consensus on the Buenos Aires highest-temperature market for September 8 centers on 17–19°C, with 18°C holding the strongest implied probability at 52.5%.** This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from multiple models showing a high near 14–17°C under stable high-pressure conditions (around 1020 hPa) and northerly flow. Clear to mostly clear skies are expected to allow sufficient solar heating during the afternoon peak, while moderate northerly winds (roughly 5–8 m/s) advect milder air without significant mixing or cloud build-up. Recent observations show cooler conditions on September 6–7 (daily maxima 11–13°C), but the pattern is shifting as high pressure builds and winds turn northerly, supporting a modest warming trend typical for early spring in the region. Historical September averages for Buenos Aires highs sit near 18–19°C, providing context for why markets favor outcomes slightly above the immediate forecast guidance. Model runs remain broadly aligned with low precipitation risk and limited variability, though minor adjustments in cloud cover or wind timing could influence the exact peak. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
9月8日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
18°C 53%
19°C 22%
17°C 18%
16°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
18%
18°C
53%
19°C
22%
20°C
4%
21°C或以上
3%
18°C 53%
19°C 22%
17°C 18%
16°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
11°C或以下
$264 交易量
<1%
12°C
$235 交易量
<1%
13°C
$146 交易量
<1%
14°C
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$115 交易量
3%
16°C
$39 交易量
5%
17°C
$124 交易量
18%
18°C
$542 交易量
53%
19°C
$417 交易量
22%
20°C
$162 交易量
4%
21°C或以上
$46 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Buenos Aires highest-temperature market for September 8 centers on 17–19°C, with 18°C holding the strongest implied probability at 52.5%.** This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from multiple models showing a high near 14–17°C under stable high-pressure conditions (around 1020 hPa) and northerly flow.
Clear to mostly clear skies are expected to allow sufficient solar heating during the afternoon peak, while moderate northerly winds (roughly 5–8 m/s) advect milder air without significant mixing or cloud build-up. Recent observations show cooler conditions on September 6–7 (daily maxima 11–13°C), but the pattern is shifting as high pressure builds and winds turn northerly, supporting a modest warming trend typical for early spring in the region.
Historical September averages for Buenos Aires highs sit near 18–19°C, providing context for why markets favor outcomes slightly above the immediate forecast guidance. Model runs remain broadly aligned with low precipitation risk and limited variability, though minor adjustments in cloud cover or wind timing could influence the exact peak. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,090結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Buenos Aires highest-temperature market for September 8 centers on 17–19°C, with 18°C holding the strongest implied probability at 52.5%.** This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from multiple models showing a high near 14–17°C under stable high-pressure conditions (around 1020 hPa) and northerly flow.
Clear to mostly clear skies are expected to allow sufficient solar heating during the afternoon peak, while moderate northerly winds (roughly 5–8 m/s) advect milder air without significant mixing or cloud build-up. Recent observations show cooler conditions on September 6–7 (daily maxima 11–13°C), but the pattern is shifting as high pressure builds and winds turn northerly, supporting a modest warming trend typical for early spring in the region.
Historical September averages for Buenos Aires highs sit near 18–19°C, providing context for why markets favor outcomes slightly above the immediate forecast guidance. Model runs remain broadly aligned with low precipitation risk and limited variability, though minor adjustments in cloud cover or wind timing could influence the exact peak. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,090結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ET**Trader consensus on the Buenos Aires highest-temperature market for September 8 centers on 17–19°C, with 18°C holding the strongest implied probability at 52.5%.** This positioning reflects current forecast consensus from multiple models showing a high near 14–17°C under stable high-pressure conditions (around 1020 hPa) and northerly flow. Clear to mostly clear skies are expected to allow sufficient solar heating during the afternoon peak, while moderate northerly winds (roughly 5–8 m/s) advect milder air without significant mixing or cloud build-up. Recent observations show cooler conditions on September 6–7 (daily maxima 11–13°C), but the pattern is shifting as high pressure builds and winds turn northerly, supporting a modest warming trend typical for early spring in the region. Historical September averages for Buenos Aires highs sit near 18–19°C, providing context for why markets favor outcomes slightly above the immediate forecast guidance. Model runs remain broadly aligned with low precipitation risk and limited variability, though minor adjustments in cloud cover or wind timing could influence the exact peak. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions