Official meteorological observations from stations in Panama City, Panama, recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on September 8, 2026, during the wet season when typical highs range 29–31°C under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. This outcome aligns with short-term variability from reduced cloud cover and localized heating, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability once the calendar day closed and verified data became available. Forecasters from regional agencies had anticipated values near 30°C, yet actual readings exceeded climatological norms by several degrees. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or a switch to an alternate reference station reporting a lower peak, though such adjustments remain uncommon for completed daily records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴拿馬城9月8日的最高溫度?
34°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$21,303 交易量
$21,303 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C或以上
否
34°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$21,303 交易量
$21,303 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations from stations in Panama City, Panama, recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on September 8, 2026, during the wet season when typical highs range 29–31°C under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. This outcome aligns with short-term variability from reduced cloud cover and localized heating, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability once the calendar day closed and verified data became available. Forecasters from regional agencies had anticipated values near 30°C, yet actual readings exceeded climatological norms by several degrees. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or a switch to an alternate reference station reporting a lower peak, though such adjustments remain uncommon for completed daily records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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