Trader consensus on a 25°C high for Mexico City on September 11 reflects pre-event forecasts from official sources projecting a maximum of 25°C amid 75% rain probability, persistent cloud cover, and typical September climatology with average highs near that mark. Hourly observations and model runs showed peaks clustered at 23–25°C, limited by atmospheric moisture and lack of strong solar heating. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with verified station data from the Benito Juárez International Airport region and historical baselines. A realistic challenge would require revised official measurements or localized microclimate readings exceeding 25°C, though current evidence indicates minimal likelihood of such an outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
9月11日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$28,225 交易量
$28,225 交易量
2026-09-11
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$28,225 交易量
$28,225 交易量
2026-09-11
16°C或以下
$266 交易量
否
17°C
$256 交易量
否
18°C
$256 交易量
否
19°C
$197 交易量
否
20°C
$149 交易量
否
21°C
$372 交易量
否
22°C
$7,861 交易量
否
23°C
$1,532 交易量
否
24°C
$2,909 交易量
否
25°C
$9,476 交易量
是
26°C或以上
$4,950 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 25°C high for Mexico City on September 11 reflects pre-event forecasts from official sources projecting a maximum of 25°C amid 75% rain probability, persistent cloud cover, and typical September climatology with average highs near that mark. Hourly observations and model runs showed peaks clustered at 23–25°C, limited by atmospheric moisture and lack of strong solar heating. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with verified station data from the Benito Juárez International Airport region and historical baselines. A realistic challenge would require revised official measurements or localized microclimate readings exceeding 25°C, though current evidence indicates minimal likelihood of such an outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$28,225結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 25°C high for Mexico City on September 11 reflects pre-event forecasts from official sources projecting a maximum of 25°C amid 75% rain probability, persistent cloud cover, and typical September climatology with average highs near that mark. Hourly observations and model runs showed peaks clustered at 23–25°C, limited by atmospheric moisture and lack of strong solar heating. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with verified station data from the Benito Juárez International Airport region and historical baselines. A realistic challenge would require revised official measurements or localized microclimate readings exceeding 25°C, though current evidence indicates minimal likelihood of such an outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,225結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on a 25°C high for Mexico City on September 11 reflects pre-event forecasts from official sources projecting a maximum of 25°C amid 75% rain probability, persistent cloud cover, and typical September climatology with average highs near that mark. Hourly observations and model runs showed peaks clustered at 23–25°C, limited by atmospheric moisture and lack of strong solar heating. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with verified station data from the Benito Juárez International Airport region and historical baselines. A realistic challenge would require revised official measurements or localized microclimate readings exceeding 25°C, though current evidence indicates minimal likelihood of such an outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions