Trader consensus for Chongqing's maximum temperature on September 10 shows tight clustering between 29–31°C because short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit only modest spread around that range, driven by uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and radiative forcing. The city's Sichuan Basin topography tends to trap heat and humidity under weak synoptic flow typical of early September, while the seasonal shift toward stronger northerly influences can enhance or suppress afternoon warming depending on cloud cover and wind speed. Official guidance from regional models highlights sensitivity to small changes in 850-hPa temperatures and surface energy budgets, with new observational updates and higher-resolution runs expected to sharpen resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日重慶氣溫最高？
9月10日重慶氣溫最高？
30°C 31%
31°C 23%
29°C 16%
28°C 11%
最新
$14,195 交易量
最新
$14,195 交易量
2026-09-10
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
16%
30°C
31%
31°C
23%
32°C
8%
33°C或更高
2%
30°C 31%
31°C 23%
29°C 16%
28°C 11%
最新
$14,195 交易量
最新
$14,195 交易量
2026-09-10
23°C或以下
$363 交易量
<1%
24°C
$622 交易量
<1%
25°C
$539 交易量
<1%
26°C
$605 交易量
4%
27°C
$604 交易量
6%
28°C
$2,239 交易量
11%
29°C
$2,651 交易量
16%
30°C
$3,058 交易量
31%
31°C
$1,582 交易量
23%
32°C
$1,665 交易量
8%
33°C或更高
$310 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Chongqing's maximum temperature on September 10 shows tight clustering between 29–31°C because short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit only modest spread around that range, driven by uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and radiative forcing. The city's Sichuan Basin topography tends to trap heat and humidity under weak synoptic flow typical of early September, while the seasonal shift toward stronger northerly influences can enhance or suppress afternoon warming depending on cloud cover and wind speed. Official guidance from regional models highlights sensitivity to small changes in 850-hPa temperatures and surface energy budgets, with new observational updates and higher-resolution runs expected to sharpen resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$14,195結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Chongqing's maximum temperature on September 10 shows tight clustering between 29–31°C because short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit only modest spread around that range, driven by uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and radiative forcing. The city's Sichuan Basin topography tends to trap heat and humidity under weak synoptic flow typical of early September, while the seasonal shift toward stronger northerly influences can enhance or suppress afternoon warming depending on cloud cover and wind speed. Official guidance from regional models highlights sensitivity to small changes in 850-hPa temperatures and surface energy budgets, with new observational updates and higher-resolution runs expected to sharpen resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,195結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader consensus for Chongqing's maximum temperature on September 10 shows tight clustering between 29–31°C because short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit only modest spread around that range, driven by uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing and radiative forcing. The city's Sichuan Basin topography tends to trap heat and humidity under weak synoptic flow typical of early September, while the seasonal shift toward stronger northerly influences can enhance or suppress afternoon warming depending on cloud cover and wind speed. Official guidance from regional models highlights sensitivity to small changes in 850-hPa temperatures and surface energy budgets, with new observational updates and higher-resolution runs expected to sharpen resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions