Recent arrival of a cold air mass has driven Chongqing's overnight low toward 20°C on September 10, aligning with model consensus from agencies tracking the region's shift from prolonged heat. Forecasts from multiple sources show minimums of 19–21°C amid cloudy, humid conditions and light rain, consistent with historical September baselines near 21–22°C but lowered by this advection event. The 90.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects trader assessment of official station data resolving near that threshold. A modest revision in final measurements or localized microclimate effects could push the reading to 19°C or below, though stronger warming or measurement adjustments would be needed to favor higher outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日重慶最低氣溫？
9月10日重慶最低氣溫？
20°C 93%
19°C或以下 1.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$1,182 交易量
$1,182 交易量
2026-09-10
19°C或以下
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
20°C 93%
19°C或以下 1.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$1,182 交易量
$1,182 交易量
2026-09-10
19°C或以下
$97 交易量
否
20°C
$174 交易量
是
21°C
$424 交易量
否
22°C
$75 交易量
否
23°C
$169 交易量
否
24°C
$73 交易量
否
25°C
$80 交易量
否
26°C
$15 交易量
否
27°C
$45 交易量
否
28°C
$15 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent arrival of a cold air mass has driven Chongqing's overnight low toward 20°C on September 10, aligning with model consensus from agencies tracking the region's shift from prolonged heat. Forecasts from multiple sources show minimums of 19–21°C amid cloudy, humid conditions and light rain, consistent with historical September baselines near 21–22°C but lowered by this advection event. The 90.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects trader assessment of official station data resolving near that threshold. A modest revision in final measurements or localized microclimate effects could push the reading to 19°C or below, though stronger warming or measurement adjustments would be needed to favor higher outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,182結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent arrival of a cold air mass has driven Chongqing's overnight low toward 20°C on September 10, aligning with model consensus from agencies tracking the region's shift from prolonged heat. Forecasts from multiple sources show minimums of 19–21°C amid cloudy, humid conditions and light rain, consistent with historical September baselines near 21–22°C but lowered by this advection event. The 90.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects trader assessment of official station data resolving near that threshold. A modest revision in final measurements or localized microclimate effects could push the reading to 19°C or below, though stronger warming or measurement adjustments would be needed to favor higher outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,182結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent arrival of a cold air mass has driven Chongqing's overnight low toward 20°C on September 10, aligning with model consensus from agencies tracking the region's shift from prolonged heat. Forecasts from multiple sources show minimums of 19–21°C amid cloudy, humid conditions and light rain, consistent with historical September baselines near 21–22°C but lowered by this advection event. The 90.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects trader assessment of official station data resolving near that threshold. A modest revision in final measurements or localized microclimate effects could push the reading to 19°C or below, though stronger warming or measurement adjustments would be needed to favor higher outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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