Persistent rainfall from a shear line and low-level jet has kept Chongqing under overcast, humid conditions on September 16, with official forecasts showing a narrow diurnal range and minimum temperatures clustered around 18–21 °C. Cloud cover and steady precipitation suppress both daytime warming and nighttime radiative cooling, anchoring the daily low near 19 °C according to multiple model runs and meteorological bureau guidance. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 19 °C (83.5 %) because that threshold aligns with the consensus minimum reported by monitoring stations; probabilities for 18 °C or 20 °C remain secondary but viable if final observations shift slightly due to station-specific siting or measurement timing. No major model divergence has emerged to alter this positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日重慶氣溫最低？
9月16日重慶氣溫最低？
19°C 97%
15°C或以下 90%
16°C 90%
17°C 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
15°C或以下
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
48%
19°C
84%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
19°C 97%
15°C或以下 90%
16°C 90%
17°C 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
16°C
$0 交易量
90%
17°C
$44 交易量
90%
18°C
$0 交易量
48%
19°C
$115 交易量
84%
20°C
$505 交易量
<1%
21°C
$781 交易量
<1%
22°C
$32 交易量
<1%
23°C
$22 交易量
<1%
24°C
$22 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$756 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall from a shear line and low-level jet has kept Chongqing under overcast, humid conditions on September 16, with official forecasts showing a narrow diurnal range and minimum temperatures clustered around 18–21 °C. Cloud cover and steady precipitation suppress both daytime warming and nighttime radiative cooling, anchoring the daily low near 19 °C according to multiple model runs and meteorological bureau guidance. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 19 °C (83.5 %) because that threshold aligns with the consensus minimum reported by monitoring stations; probabilities for 18 °C or 20 °C remain secondary but viable if final observations shift slightly due to station-specific siting or measurement timing. No major model divergence has emerged to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,277結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall from a shear line and low-level jet has kept Chongqing under overcast, humid conditions on September 16, with official forecasts showing a narrow diurnal range and minimum temperatures clustered around 18–21 °C. Cloud cover and steady precipitation suppress both daytime warming and nighttime radiative cooling, anchoring the daily low near 19 °C according to multiple model runs and meteorological bureau guidance. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 19 °C (83.5 %) because that threshold aligns with the consensus minimum reported by monitoring stations; probabilities for 18 °C or 20 °C remain secondary but viable if final observations shift slightly due to station-specific siting or measurement timing. No major model divergence has emerged to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,277結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETPersistent rainfall from a shear line and low-level jet has kept Chongqing under overcast, humid conditions on September 16, with official forecasts showing a narrow diurnal range and minimum temperatures clustered around 18–21 °C. Cloud cover and steady precipitation suppress both daytime warming and nighttime radiative cooling, anchoring the daily low near 19 °C according to multiple model runs and meteorological bureau guidance. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 19 °C (83.5 %) because that threshold aligns with the consensus minimum reported by monitoring stations; probabilities for 18 °C or 20 °C remain secondary but viable if final observations shift slightly due to station-specific siting or measurement timing. No major model divergence has emerged to alter this positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions