Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 11 likely falling between 8°C and 12°C, driven by southeast winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling. Diurnal temperature range will hinge on wind strength and cloud thickness, with stronger mixing potentially keeping the low above 10°C while clearer breaks could allow brief dips toward 7°C or lower. Historical September baselines show typical overnight minima near 10–11°C, but current ensemble spread and recent southerly flow shifts create genuine uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market odds across extremes. Updated model runs overnight will clarify steering patterns ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度?
7°C或以下 65%
17°C或以上 65%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
7°C或以下
65%
8°C
22%
9°C
25%
10°C
26%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
14%
16°C
14%
17°C或以上
65%
7°C或以下 65%
17°C或以上 65%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
7°C或以下
65%
8°C
22%
9°C
25%
10°C
26%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
14%
16°C
14%
17°C或以上
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 11 likely falling between 8°C and 12°C, driven by southeast winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling. Diurnal temperature range will hinge on wind strength and cloud thickness, with stronger mixing potentially keeping the low above 10°C while clearer breaks could allow brief dips toward 7°C or lower. Historical September baselines show typical overnight minima near 10–11°C, but current ensemble spread and recent southerly flow shifts create genuine uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market odds across extremes. Updated model runs overnight will clarify steering patterns ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions