Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum of 21–23°C in Paris on September 10 under stable high pressure, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors typical early-September conditions near the long-term average high of roughly 22°C, without anomalous warming or cooling from Atlantic systems. Multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks near 22°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on that outcome at 54% implied probability, followed by 23°C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and exact timing keeps 21°C and 24°C as secondary possibilities, though recent updates show little shift in consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月10日最高溫度？
巴黎9月10日最高溫度？
22°C 56%
23°C 22%
21°C 14%
24°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
14%
22°C
56%
23°C
22%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
<1%
22°C 56%
23°C 22%
21°C 14%
24°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
$1,006 交易量
<1%
18°C
$649 交易量
<1%
19°C
$100 交易量
1%
20°C
$260 交易量
3%
21°C
$2,413 交易量
14%
22°C
$1,902 交易量
56%
23°C
$1,932 交易量
22%
24°C
$359 交易量
5%
25°C
$193 交易量
1%
26°C
$172 交易量
1%
27°C或以上
$294 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum of 21–23°C in Paris on September 10 under stable high pressure, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors typical early-September conditions near the long-term average high of roughly 22°C, without anomalous warming or cooling from Atlantic systems. Multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks near 22°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on that outcome at 54% implied probability, followed by 23°C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and exact timing keeps 21°C and 24°C as secondary possibilities, though recent updates show little shift in consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,279結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum of 21–23°C in Paris on September 10 under stable high pressure, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors typical early-September conditions near the long-term average high of roughly 22°C, without anomalous warming or cooling from Atlantic systems. Multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks near 22°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on that outcome at 54% implied probability, followed by 23°C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and exact timing keeps 21°C and 24°C as secondary possibilities, though recent updates show little shift in consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,279結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum of 21–23°C in Paris on September 10 under stable high pressure, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors typical early-September conditions near the long-term average high of roughly 22°C, without anomalous warming or cooling from Atlantic systems. Multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks near 22°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on that outcome at 54% implied probability, followed by 23°C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and exact timing keeps 21°C and 24°C as secondary possibilities, though recent updates show little shift in consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions