Current forecasts from official monitoring sources indicate Manila will reach a daily high near 30°C on September 11, aligning with typical September conditions during the southwest monsoon season when persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-85%, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating. Model consensus and observational trends support this range, with historical September averages also centering near 30-32°C. The market-implied near-certainty at 30°C reflects trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited intensification potential. A shift toward clearer skies or reduced precipitation could allow temperatures to exceed this threshold, while stronger monsoon activity might cap the high slightly lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月11日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
30°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$20,205 交易量
$20,205 交易量
2026-09-11
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
30°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$20,205 交易量
$20,205 交易量
2026-09-11
24°C或以下
$221 交易量
否
25°C
$477 交易量
否
26°C
$390 交易量
否
27°C
$1,454 交易量
否
28°C
$1,758 交易量
否
29°C
$1,674 交易量
否
30°C
$3,819 交易量
是
31°C
$3,023 交易量
否
32°C
$2,735 交易量
否
33°C
$2,951 交易量
否
34°C或以上
$1,704 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official monitoring sources indicate Manila will reach a daily high near 30°C on September 11, aligning with typical September conditions during the southwest monsoon season when persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-85%, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating. Model consensus and observational trends support this range, with historical September averages also centering near 30-32°C. The market-implied near-certainty at 30°C reflects trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited intensification potential. A shift toward clearer skies or reduced precipitation could allow temperatures to exceed this threshold, while stronger monsoon activity might cap the high slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$20,205結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official monitoring sources indicate Manila will reach a daily high near 30°C on September 11, aligning with typical September conditions during the southwest monsoon season when persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-85%, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating. Model consensus and observational trends support this range, with historical September averages also centering near 30-32°C. The market-implied near-certainty at 30°C reflects trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited intensification potential. A shift toward clearer skies or reduced precipitation could allow temperatures to exceed this threshold, while stronger monsoon activity might cap the high slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,205結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from official monitoring sources indicate Manila will reach a daily high near 30°C on September 11, aligning with typical September conditions during the southwest monsoon season when persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-85%, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating. Model consensus and observational trends support this range, with historical September averages also centering near 30-32°C. The market-implied near-certainty at 30°C reflects trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited intensification potential. A shift toward clearer skies or reduced precipitation could allow temperatures to exceed this threshold, while stronger monsoon activity might cap the high slightly lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions