Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate stable atmospheric conditions over Karachi, with southwest monsoon flows weakening and moderate sea breezes from the Arabian Sea limiting daytime heating. Historical September averages place maximum temperatures near 32–33°C, consistent with current observations of partly cloudy skies, dew points around 22–24°C, and light to moderate winds that moderate urban heat buildup. These factors position 33°C as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C, while the modest 15% chance for 34°C reflects limited upside potential absent a sudden clear-sky intensification or wind shift. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and typical late-summer variability in the absence of strong synoptic drivers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
33°C 54%
32°C 29%
34°C 16%
31°C 8%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
8%
32°C
29%
33°C
54%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
攝氏37度或以上
2%
33°C 54%
32°C 29%
34°C 16%
31°C 8%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
8%
32°C
29%
33°C
54%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
攝氏37度或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate stable atmospheric conditions over Karachi, with southwest monsoon flows weakening and moderate sea breezes from the Arabian Sea limiting daytime heating. Historical September averages place maximum temperatures near 32–33°C, consistent with current observations of partly cloudy skies, dew points around 22–24°C, and light to moderate winds that moderate urban heat buildup. These factors position 33°C as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C, while the modest 15% chance for 34°C reflects limited upside potential absent a sudden clear-sky intensification or wind shift. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and typical late-summer variability in the absence of strong synoptic drivers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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