Recent official forecasts from European models and local meteorological services indicate a high near 24°C in Milan on September 9, 2026, driven by widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Current observations from stations like Milano Linate show temperatures around 20–22°C midday amid high humidity and easterly flow, consistent with the market's 70% implied probability for 24°C. Model consensus emphasizes suppressed maxima due to the active weather pattern, with only modest upside risk to 25–26°C if breaks in clouds allow brief warming. Historical September baselines near 25°C provide context, yet today's precipitation and stable boundary layer conditions strongly favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日米蘭的最高溫度？
9月9日米蘭的最高溫度？
24°C 69%
25°C 15%
26°C 8%
27°C或以上 8%
$42,576 交易量
$42,576 交易量
2026-09-09
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
69%
25°C
15%
26°C
8%
27°C或以上
8%
24°C 69%
25°C 15%
26°C 8%
27°C或以上 8%
$42,576 交易量
$42,576 交易量
2026-09-09
17°C或以下
$1,327 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,055 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,809 交易量
<1%
20°C
$467 交易量
<1%
21°C
$775 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,514 交易量
<1%
23°C
$8,984 交易量
<1%
24°C
$8,233 交易量
69%
25°C
$4,794 交易量
15%
26°C
$6,831 交易量
8%
27°C或以上
$6,373 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European models and local meteorological services indicate a high near 24°C in Milan on September 9, 2026, driven by widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Current observations from stations like Milano Linate show temperatures around 20–22°C midday amid high humidity and easterly flow, consistent with the market's 70% implied probability for 24°C. Model consensus emphasizes suppressed maxima due to the active weather pattern, with only modest upside risk to 25–26°C if breaks in clouds allow brief warming. Historical September baselines near 25°C provide context, yet today's precipitation and stable boundary layer conditions strongly favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$42,576結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European models and local meteorological services indicate a high near 24°C in Milan on September 9, 2026, driven by widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Current observations from stations like Milano Linate show temperatures around 20–22°C midday amid high humidity and easterly flow, consistent with the market's 70% implied probability for 24°C. Model consensus emphasizes suppressed maxima due to the active weather pattern, with only modest upside risk to 25–26°C if breaks in clouds allow brief warming. Historical September baselines near 25°C provide context, yet today's precipitation and stable boundary layer conditions strongly favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42,576結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from European models and local meteorological services indicate a high near 24°C in Milan on September 9, 2026, driven by widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Current observations from stations like Milano Linate show temperatures around 20–22°C midday amid high humidity and easterly flow, consistent with the market's 70% implied probability for 24°C. Model consensus emphasizes suppressed maxima due to the active weather pattern, with only modest upside risk to 25–26°C if breaks in clouds allow brief warming. Historical September baselines near 25°C provide context, yet today's precipitation and stable boundary layer conditions strongly favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions