Recent forecast consensus from European models shows a cooling trend in northern Italy following thunderstorms and an influx of fresher Atlantic air on September 9–10, positioning Milan’s September 11 maximum near 24–25 °C. Official guidance and ensemble runs highlight modest diurnal heating under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, limiting afternoon peaks while keeping values above the September climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C. Trader emphasis on 25 °C and 24 °C outcomes reflects this narrow range, tempered by residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any residual showers. Updated high-resolution runs and observational verification from regional networks over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日米蘭的最高溫度?
25°C 41%
24°C 26%
26°C 22%
23°C 8%
18°C或以下
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
8%
24°C
26%
25°C
41%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C或以上
3%
25°C 41%
24°C 26%
26°C 22%
23°C 8%
18°C或以下
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
8%
24°C
26%
25°C
41%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C或以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from European models shows a cooling trend in northern Italy following thunderstorms and an influx of fresher Atlantic air on September 9–10, positioning Milan’s September 11 maximum near 24–25 °C. Official guidance and ensemble runs highlight modest diurnal heating under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, limiting afternoon peaks while keeping values above the September climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C. Trader emphasis on 25 °C and 24 °C outcomes reflects this narrow range, tempered by residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any residual showers. Updated high-resolution runs and observational verification from regional networks over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions