Recent National Weather Service guidance and supporting model consensus point to a Friday high near 77°F in Chicago under mostly sunny skies and light southeast flow, placing the market's modest 11.5% on 76-77°F in line with the baseline forecast. Trader preference for 78-81°F outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in short-range guidance, where modest warming from stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings a few degrees higher before the diurnal peak. Historical climatology shows an average high of roughly 78°F for the date, providing context for the tight clustering around that level. Key resolution factors include official Chicago observations at O'Hare or Midway, with upcoming afternoon model runs and NWS forecast discussions likely to refine the exact maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日芝加哥的最高溫度？
9月11日芝加哥的最高溫度？
78-79°F 40%
80-81華氏度 40%
76-77°F 23%
82-83°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
華氏71度或以下
1%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
23%
80-81華氏度
40%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
3%
華氏90度或更高
2%
78-79°F 40%
80-81華氏度 40%
76-77°F 23%
82-83°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
華氏71度或以下
$0 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
7%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
11%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
23%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
23%
80-81華氏度
$0 交易量
40%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
19%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
7%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
3%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
3%
華氏90度或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and supporting model consensus point to a Friday high near 77°F in Chicago under mostly sunny skies and light southeast flow, placing the market's modest 11.5% on 76-77°F in line with the baseline forecast. Trader preference for 78-81°F outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in short-range guidance, where modest warming from stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings a few degrees higher before the diurnal peak. Historical climatology shows an average high of roughly 78°F for the date, providing context for the tight clustering around that level. Key resolution factors include official Chicago observations at O'Hare or Midway, with upcoming afternoon model runs and NWS forecast discussions likely to refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and supporting model consensus point to a Friday high near 77°F in Chicago under mostly sunny skies and light southeast flow, placing the market's modest 11.5% on 76-77°F in line with the baseline forecast. Trader preference for 78-81°F outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in short-range guidance, where modest warming from stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings a few degrees higher before the diurnal peak. Historical climatology shows an average high of roughly 78°F for the date, providing context for the tight clustering around that level. Key resolution factors include official Chicago observations at O'Hare or Midway, with upcoming afternoon model runs and NWS forecast discussions likely to refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and supporting model consensus point to a Friday high near 77°F in Chicago under mostly sunny skies and light southeast flow, placing the market's modest 11.5% on 76-77°F in line with the baseline forecast. Trader preference for 78-81°F outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in short-range guidance, where modest warming from stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings a few degrees higher before the diurnal peak. Historical climatology shows an average high of roughly 78°F for the date, providing context for the tight clustering around that level. Key resolution factors include official Chicago observations at O'Hare or Midway, with upcoming afternoon model runs and NWS forecast discussions likely to refine the exact maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions