An incoming cold front and associated rain system are driving the tight clustering of market odds around 26–28°C for Chengdu’s September 9 high. Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds are expected to limit solar heating and advect cooler air into the Sichuan Basin, suppressing the peak temperature several degrees below recent 33–35°C readings. Forecasters from local meteorological sources and global models show consensus on moderate to heavy precipitation concentrated through the day, with the exact maximum hinging on rainfall timing, cloud breaks, and wind strength. Traders weigh these variables against historical September climatology, where similar synoptic setups have produced highs near 25–27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution among the leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日成都最高溫度?
27°C 31%
26°C 24%
28°C 22%
25°C 15%
21°C或以下
3%
22°C
13%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
15%
26°C
24%
27°C
31%
28°C
22%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C或以上
2%
27°C 31%
26°C 24%
28°C 22%
25°C 15%
21°C或以下
3%
22°C
13%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
15%
26°C
24%
27°C
31%
28°C
22%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
An incoming cold front and associated rain system are driving the tight clustering of market odds around 26–28°C for Chengdu’s September 9 high. Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds are expected to limit solar heating and advect cooler air into the Sichuan Basin, suppressing the peak temperature several degrees below recent 33–35°C readings. Forecasters from local meteorological sources and global models show consensus on moderate to heavy precipitation concentrated through the day, with the exact maximum hinging on rainfall timing, cloud breaks, and wind strength. Traders weigh these variables against historical September climatology, where similar synoptic setups have produced highs near 25–27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution among the leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions