**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 25°C high in London on September 7, 2026, stems from official meteorological observations and model consensus showing peak afternoon temperatures under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds.** National weather services and ensemble forecasts, including GFS data, aligned on a maximum of 25°C during the warmest hours, consistent with September climatology for southern England where daily highs in early autumn often range 18–24°C. Real-time station readings and short-range updates reinforced this outcome as the day progressed, with minimal precipitation risk supporting stable thermal conditions. While forecast models carry inherent uncertainty from local microclimates or measurement revisions across stations, the strong convergence of data leaves little room for deviation unless unexpected observational adjustments occur before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日倫敦的最高溫度？
9月7日倫敦的最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$74,330 交易量
$74,330 交易量
2026-09-07
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$74,330 交易量
$74,330 交易量
2026-09-07
18°C或以下
$268 交易量
否
19°C
$145 交易量
否
20°C
$458 交易量
否
21°C
$1,217 交易量
否
22°C
$4,340 交易量
否
23°C
$13,719 交易量
否
24°C
$19,836 交易量
否
25°C
$17,618 交易量
是
26°C
$10,280 交易量
否
27°C
$3,472 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$2,979 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 25°C high in London on September 7, 2026, stems from official meteorological observations and model consensus showing peak afternoon temperatures under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds.**
National weather services and ensemble forecasts, including GFS data, aligned on a maximum of 25°C during the warmest hours, consistent with September climatology for southern England where daily highs in early autumn often range 18–24°C. Real-time station readings and short-range updates reinforced this outcome as the day progressed, with minimal precipitation risk supporting stable thermal conditions.
While forecast models carry inherent uncertainty from local microclimates or measurement revisions across stations, the strong convergence of data leaves little room for deviation unless unexpected observational adjustments occur before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$74,330結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 25°C high in London on September 7, 2026, stems from official meteorological observations and model consensus showing peak afternoon temperatures under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds.**
National weather services and ensemble forecasts, including GFS data, aligned on a maximum of 25°C during the warmest hours, consistent with September climatology for southern England where daily highs in early autumn often range 18–24°C. Real-time station readings and short-range updates reinforced this outcome as the day progressed, with minimal precipitation risk supporting stable thermal conditions.
While forecast models carry inherent uncertainty from local microclimates or measurement revisions across stations, the strong convergence of data leaves little room for deviation unless unexpected observational adjustments occur before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$74,330結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 25°C high in London on September 7, 2026, stems from official meteorological observations and model consensus showing peak afternoon temperatures under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds.** National weather services and ensemble forecasts, including GFS data, aligned on a maximum of 25°C during the warmest hours, consistent with September climatology for southern England where daily highs in early autumn often range 18–24°C. Real-time station readings and short-range updates reinforced this outcome as the day progressed, with minimal precipitation risk supporting stable thermal conditions. While forecast models carry inherent uncertainty from local microclimates or measurement revisions across stations, the strong convergence of data leaves little room for deviation unless unexpected observational adjustments occur before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions